Figure 2

Model fits to data from the Garki Project. The number of adult mosquitoes trapped per night (pyrethrum spray catches of indoor resting mosquitoes) aggregated over the village is shown as red markers and compared with the model prediction. The black solid line represents the model prediction with the median posterior estimates and the envelopes depict the inter-quartile range (dark grey) and 95% credible intervals (light grey). The measured rainfall is shown in blue.