Table 1 Prior and posterior estimates for the model parameters.
From: Modelling the impact of vector control interventions on Anopheles gambiae population dynamics
Parameter | Description | Unit | Prior median (95% CrI) | Posterior median (95% CrI) | Source of priors |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
d E | Development time of early larval instars | days | 6.67 (4.64 - 8.69) | 6.64 (4.82 - 8.53) | Bayoh & Lindsay [8] |
d L | Development time of late larval instars | days | 4.17 (1.88 - 6.46) | 3.72 (2.03 - 5.61) | Bayoh& Lindsay [8] |
d P | Development time of pupae | days | 1.0 (0.20 - 1.80) | 0.64 (0.07 - 1.47) | Bayoh & Lindsay [8] |
| Per capita daily mortality rate of early instars (low density) | day-1 | 0.035 (0.025 - 0.044) | 0.034 (0.024 - 0.044) | Bayoh & Lindsay [8] |
| Per capita daily mortality rate of late instars (low density) | day-1 | 0.035 (0.025 - 0.044) | 0.035 (0.025 - 0.044) | Bayoh & Lindsay [8] |
μ P | Per capita daily mortality rate of pupae | day-1 | 0.25 (0.18 - 0.32) | 0.25 (0.18 - 0.32) | Service [36] |
μ M | Per capita daily mortality rate of adult An. gambiae | day-1 | 0.091 (0.082 - 0.101) | 0.096 (0.087 - 0.010) | Garki project [1] |
β | No. of eggs laid per day per mosquito | - | 12.75 (0.64 - 24.86) | 21.19 (11.57 - 25.31) | Service [36] |
γ | Effect of density dependence on late instars relative to early instars | - | 13.06 (9.53 - 17.36) | 13.25 (9.82 - 17.51) | Service [36] |
δ | Duration of gonotrophic cycle | days | 3 | - | Killeen et al. [35] |
ε max | Maximum no. eggs per oviposition per mosquito | - | 93.6 | - | Hogg & Hurd [6] |
τ | Days of rainfall contributing to carrying capacity | days | 7 (3.5-11) | 4 (2.5 -7) | Yé et al. [38] |
K | Environmental carrying capacity | larvae | - | - | - |
