Figure 5

The distribution of uncertainty of the laboratory model prediction. Colours from blue to beige show the interquartile range (IQR) in predictions from 200 bootstrap runs of the laboratory model (A and B). This uncertainty is then combined with the field data uncertainty quantified by 200 bootstrap runs of MRR data to give the IQR predictions for the field survival model (C and D). Red dotted lines of the 50% and 95% of the population remaining are added for reference.