Figure 3From: Characterizing the likelihood of dengue emergence and detection in naïve populationsProbability of successful, detectable emergence of DENV-1. Probability of DENV-1 emergence (y-axis) given the introduction via an index case on infectious day (ID, x-axis) for several contact rates (a) (defined by the color bar on the right). Error bars correspond to 95% binomial confidence intervals:Back to article page