Figure 4

Agreement between scenarios in the direction of change in S. mansoni risk in eastern Africa. Results are for 2026–2035 relative to 2006–2015 (top) and 2056–2065 relative to 2006–2015 (bottom). Areas are shown in yellow if all scenarios agree that increasing temperatures will have little effect on schistosomiasis transmission. Areas are shown in red and blue respectively if there is widespread agreement between scenarios that temperatures will become suitable for increased or decreased schistosomiasis transmission over the next 20 years. Areas are shown in grey if the majority of scenarios predict increasing risk or little change, but one or more scenarios predict decreasing risk, or vice versa.