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Table 1 Comparison of model output ‘infection risk’ at baseline (2006–2015) with empirical prevalence estimates

From: Predicting the effects of climate change on Schistosoma mansoni transmission in eastern Africa

  All data (N = 279) Selected data (N = 100)
Prevalence cut-off Number above cut-off (%) AUC* (95% CI) Number above cut-off (%) AUC* (95% CI)
0% 209 (75) 0.60 (0.52-0.67) 66 (66) 0.56 (0.45-0.68)
10% 98 (35) 0.62 (0.55-0.69) 22 (22) 0.62 (0.47-0.77)
20% 69 (25) 0.63 (0.56-0.71) 13 (13) 0.68 (0.50-0.86)
50% 26 (9) 0.57 (0.46-0.69) 4 (4) 0.76 (0.39-1.00)
  1. *Area under receiver operating characteristic curve.