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Table 1 Comparison of model output ‘infection risk’ at baseline (2006–2015) with empirical prevalence estimates

From: Predicting the effects of climate change on Schistosoma mansoni transmission in eastern Africa

 

All data (N = 279)

Selected data (N = 100)

Prevalence cut-off

Number above cut-off (%)

AUC* (95% CI)

Number above cut-off (%)

AUC* (95% CI)

0%

209 (75)

0.60 (0.52-0.67)

66 (66)

0.56 (0.45-0.68)

10%

98 (35)

0.62 (0.55-0.69)

22 (22)

0.62 (0.47-0.77)

20%

69 (25)

0.63 (0.56-0.71)

13 (13)

0.68 (0.50-0.86)

50%

26 (9)

0.57 (0.46-0.69)

4 (4)

0.76 (0.39-1.00)

  1. *Area under receiver operating characteristic curve.