Utility of mosquito surveillance data for spatial prioritization of vector control against dengue viruses in three Brazilian cities

Table 2 Goodness-of-fit for the best model selected using data from Vitoria

For each city, the model was fit to the data using the “in-sample” portion. The estimated parameters were then used to forecast the remaining data (“out-of-sample” portion). Goodness-of-fit was assessed as the Spearman’s correlation coefficient between the observed and predicted data at both the neighborhood and city levels for each portion of predicted data.