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Table 1 MaxEnt models validation parameters evaluated using test points

From: Predicting potential ranges of primary malaria vectors and malaria in northern South America based on projected changes in climate, land cover and human population

Species

Time/Model

Parameters in model

Training AUC

Test AUC

Mean {sd}b

ETSS

Omission rate

TSS

Malaria

Current

23

0.93

0.9

0.53 {0.23}

0.271

0.25*

0.57

2050 (Hadley)

0.49 {0.16}

2050 (NASA)

0.46 {0.18}

2070 (Hadley)

0.46 {0.17}

2070 (NASA)

0.45 {0.19}

An. darlingi a

Current

13

0.77

0.75

0.51 {0.12}

0.463

0.34*

0.58

2050 (Hadley)

0.51 {0.14}

2050 (NASA)

0.50 {0.13}

2070 (Hadley)

0.51 {0.13}

2070 (NASA)

0.51 {0.13}

An. nuneztovari s.l. a

Current

0.8

0.79

0.53 {0.14}

0.492

0.3*

0.68

2050 (Hadley)

0.53 {0.12}

2050 (NASA)

0.55 {0.10}

2070 (Hadley)

0.54 {0.11}

2070 (NASA)

0.53 {0.13}

  1. *Significant at p < 0.001
  2. aExcluded parameters with high correlation to avoid over-fitting
  3. bEstimated using 12, 65 and 44 test and background points each for Malaria, An. darlingi and An. nuneztovari respectively