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Table 1 MaxEnt models validation parameters evaluated using test points

From: Predicting potential ranges of primary malaria vectors and malaria in northern South America based on projected changes in climate, land cover and human population

Species Time/Model Parameters in model Training AUC Test AUC Mean {sd}b ETSS Omission rate TSS
Malaria Current 23 0.93 0.9 0.53 {0.23} 0.271 0.25* 0.57
2050 (Hadley) 0.49 {0.16}
2050 (NASA) 0.46 {0.18}
2070 (Hadley) 0.46 {0.17}
2070 (NASA) 0.45 {0.19}
An. darlingi a Current 13 0.77 0.75 0.51 {0.12} 0.463 0.34* 0.58
2050 (Hadley) 0.51 {0.14}
2050 (NASA) 0.50 {0.13}
2070 (Hadley) 0.51 {0.13}
2070 (NASA) 0.51 {0.13}
An. nuneztovari s.l. a Current 0.8 0.79 0.53 {0.14} 0.492 0.3* 0.68
2050 (Hadley) 0.53 {0.12}
2050 (NASA) 0.55 {0.10}
2070 (Hadley) 0.54 {0.11}
2070 (NASA) 0.53 {0.13}
  1. *Significant at p < 0.001
  2. aExcluded parameters with high correlation to avoid over-fitting
  3. bEstimated using 12, 65 and 44 test and background points each for Malaria, An. darlingi and An. nuneztovari respectively