Table 1 Forecast scores
Model ID | Log likelihood | Rank | Scenario | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Density function | Data | Delay in TF recovery | |||
1 | −71.864 | 1 | Zero-inflation #1 | TF,TI, PCR | Yes |
2 | −72.207 | 2 | Zero-inflation #1 | TF only | Yes |
3 | −74.792 | 4 | Zero-inflation #2 | TF,TI, PCR | Yes |
4 | −74.576 | 3 | Zero-inflation #2 | TF only | Yes |
5 | −76.640 | 7 | Truncated normal | TF, TI, PCR | Yes |
6 | −76.782 | 8 | Truncated normal | TF only | Yes |
7 | −76.173 | 5 | Zero-inflation #1 | TF, TI, PCR | No |
8 | −76.174 | 6 | Zero-inflation #1 | TF only | No |
9 | −122.234 | 10 | Binomial (sensitivity and specificity) | TF, TI, PCR | Yes |
10 | −105.221 | 9 | Binomial (sensitivity and specificity) | TF only | Yes |