Quantitative evaluation of the strategy to eliminate human African trypanosomiasis in the Democratic Republic of Congo

Table 3 For each biologically feasible model, this table gives the mean R ²₀ values in the absence of annual active screening as well as the predicted elimination years under either mean screening levels or maximum screening levels. 95 % credible intervals are given in brackets

Model	Pre-active screen R ²₀	Elimination as a public health problem year
Model	Pre-active screen R ²₀	Mean screen	Max screen
1	1.024 [1.023, 1.025]	2014 [2014, 2015]	2013 [2013,2015]
4	1.046 [1.038, 1.056]	2140 [2103, 2199]	2074 [2060, 2092]
6	1.005 [1.005, 1.005]	2077 [2072, 2101]	2059 [2050,2069]
7	1.040 [1.032, 1.048]	2124 [2098, 2176]	2072 [2059,2091]

ISSN: 1756-3305