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Table 3 For each biologically feasible model, this table gives the mean R 20 values in the absence of annual active screening as well as the predicted elimination years under either mean screening levels or maximum screening levels. 95 % credible intervals are given in brackets

From: Quantitative evaluation of the strategy to eliminate human African trypanosomiasis in the Democratic Republic of Congo

Model Pre-active screen R 20 Elimination as a public health problem year
Mean screen Max screen
1 1.024 [1.023, 1.025] 2014 [2014, 2015] 2013 [2013,2015]
4 1.046 [1.038, 1.056] 2140 [2103, 2199] 2074 [2060, 2092]
6 1.005 [1.005, 1.005] 2077 [2072, 2101] 2059 [2050,2069]
7 1.040 [1.032, 1.048] 2124 [2098, 2176] 2072 [2059,2091]