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Table 4 Model-estimated CFA (at community-level as well as in 6–7 years age-cohort), and mf breakpoint values for achieving the successful interruption of LF transmission in each of the five study sites that have both CFA and mf baseline age data. As in Table 2, breakpoints are listed in terms of prevalences (%) for CFA and mf at 95 % probability of elimination for two situations: 1) at the prevailing vector biting rates (ien, at the observed ABRs); and 2) at the threshold biting rates (TBRs) at or below which LF transmission process cannot sustain itself regardless of the level of the infection in human hosts

From: Bayesian calibration of simulation models for supporting management of the elimination of the macroparasitic disease, Lymphatic Filariasis

Study villages

Mean TBR

95 %-EP Breakpoint values at ABRs

95 %-EP Breakpoint values at ABRs

CFA bpts

CFA6to7 bpts

Mf bpts

CFA bpts

CFA6to7 bpts

Mf bpts

Masaika

731

0.067185

0.004926

0.012826

0.146865

0.047919

0.136688

Kirare

497

0.089053

0.014116

0.026547

0.204496

0.056584

0.116281

Alebtong

6653

0.049452

0.002917

0.006474

0.112308

0.024612

0.05454

Lwala

3729

0.060131

0.005485

0.014214

0.12293

0.043296

0.090148

Obalanga

867

0.071218

0.010358

0.019089

0.150288

0.060039

0.127721

  1. EP: elimination probability; bpts: breakpoints; CFA6to7: Circulating Filarial Antigen in 6 to 7 years old.