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Table 1 Characteristics of the 25 studies included in the meta-analysis of Chagas disease-associated mortality

From: Increased mortality attributed to Chagas disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis

First author, year [Ref]

Country

Outcome

Study period

Diagnostic test

Population type

Control group

Mode of death

Disease classification

Sample size

Outcome

Person-yrs of follow up

Crude RR

Reported effect estimate

exp/ non-exp

exp/non-exp

exp/non-exp

Estimate (95% CI)

Adjusted by variables

Coura, 1985 [51]

Brazil

Death

1974-1984

Serology

General population endemic area (included undetermined and cardio-myopathy)

Same population but uninfected

Cardio-myopathy

All stages

235/216

54/23

2350/2160

2.16

2 times higher (NR)

NR

Pereira, 1985 [52]

Brazil

Death

1976-1980

IFAT & CF

General population - Municipality La Lapa

General population - same municipality

SD (64.7%)

Asymptomatic/GenP

192/188

22/6

1152/1128

3.59

NR(NR)

NR

Maguire, 1987 [53]

Brazil

Death

1974-1980

IFAT & CF & ELISA

Asymptomatic from rural Brazilian community. Normal ECG

Asymptomatic from rural Brazilian community. Normal ECG

NR

Asymptomatic/GenP

40/116

3/3

949/771

0.81

RR=1.8 (0.8–4.2)

NR

Mota, 1990 [54]

Brazil

Death

1974-1983

IFAT & CF & ELISA

Rural population

Rural population, slightly healthier

NR

Asymptomatic/GenP

488/509

34/28

3842/3663

1.16

RR=1.1 (NR)

Age adjusted

Bestetti & Muccillo, 1997 [8]

Brazil

Cardiac death

1990-1993

NR

Left ventricular dilatation in ECG. Cardiomegaly in the chest X-ray. With or without symptoms

Similar, uninfected. HTA 34%

SD (38%)

Moderate stage

75/50

21/3

225/150

4.67

OR=6.1 (1.7–21.7)

Not adjusted

Pimenta & Valente, 1999 [55]

Brazil

Cardiac death

1977 1996

CF & IFAT & HAI

Asymptomatic individuals with bundle branch block (RBBB = 98.2%)

Sclerosis of the conducting system of the heart (Lev-Lenègre’s disease) (RBBB: 48.3%)

SD (50%)

Asymptomatic/GenP

55/29

17/3

554/229

2.34

NR (NR)

NR

Freitas, 2005 [56]

Brazil

Death

1991-2000

Serology

NYHA III or IV

IDC

NR

Severe stage

242/454

110/156

516/968

1.32

HR=1.63 (1.10–1.43)

NR

Oliveira, 2005 [57]

Brazil

Death

1993-1995

NR

Systolic ventricular dysfunction (LVEF <55%) at the day of hospitalisation. Chagas in 44% of patients

Any aetiology identified

NR

Severe stage

56/70

50/51

71/89

1.23

RR=2.66 (1.10–6.46)

Not adjusted

De Campos Lopes, 2006 [49]

Brazil

Cardiac death

1998-2000

NR

Severe HF; hospitalized subsequent-ly. HT was considered a censored event

Hospitalized from the same clinic

NR

Severe stage

102/392

72/169

204/784

1.64

NR (NR)

Age and controlled for relevant covariates: health system, myocardial infarction, HTA

Heringer-Walther, 2006 [58]

Brazil

Cardiac death or HT

2001-2006

2 positive serologies

Dilated cardio-myopathy. All stages

Idiopathic dilated cardio-myopathy. Other structural cardiac diseases and comor-bidities were excluded in both groups

NR

All stages

274/504

8/10

716/1108

1.24

OR=3.34 (1.90–5.89)

NR

Braga, 2008 [59]

Brazil

Death

2003-2004

NR

HF and moderate to severe left ventricle systolic dysfunction

Other aetiologies not specified

NR

Moderate stage

89/102

16/10

89/102

1.83

OR=1.67 (0.67–4.41)

Education level

Silva, 2008 [60]

Brazil

Death

NR

NR

Admitted for decom-pensated HF. NYHA III-IIV

Other aetiologies

NR

Severe stage

122/232

84/111

122/232

1.44

NR (NR)

NR

Lima-Costa 2010a [61]

Brazil

Death

1997-2007

HAI & 2 ELISA tests

Bambui, general >60 years age

General population > 60 years age

NR

Asymptomatic/GenP

524/874

257/310

4569/7621

1.38

NR, p<0.01

Age, sex, and a number of risk factors

Lima-Costa, 2010b [50]

Brazil

Stroke

1997-2007

HAI & 2 ELISA tests

Bambui, general population >60 years age (RBBB in 23.5%, in schooled = 20%)

General population > 60 years of age and significantly healthier than chagasic patients (RBBB in 3.3%) and schooled (50%)

Stroke

Asymptomatic/GenP

563/915

20/25

3479/6261

1.40

HR=1.56 (1.32–1.85)

Age, sex, schooling, other risk factors and C-reactive protein level

Nunes, 2010 [62]

Brazil

Cardiac death or HT

1999-2008

NR

HF, dilated cardio-myopathy (diameter/ body surface area ≥31 mm) and LVEF <55%. NYHA III/IV in 25%

Same criteria but Idiopathic dilated cardio-myopathy (NYHA III/IV 27%)

Progressive HF (48%). SD (42%)

Moderate stage

224/63

91/22

737/207

1.16

HR=2.35 (1.25–4.44)

NR

Issa, 2010 [40]

Brazil

Death or HT

1999-2000

IFAT & HAI & ELISA

Clinical trial. Irreversible chronic HF of at least 6-month duration

Other aetiologies, not specified

NR

All stages

68/388

49/180

250/1428

1.55

NR (NR)

Cox proportional hazards regression model

Cardoso, 2010 [63]

Brazil

Death

2006-2007

ELISA & IFAT

NYHA IV, admitted; poor perfusion and congestion. (LVEF) < 45.0%

HTA, Idiopathic, vasculopathic; alcohol cardiomyopathy

Progressive HF

Severe stage

33/67

22/24

68/139

1.87

HR=2.48 (1.28–4.78)

Multi-variate analysis

Conceição-Souza, 2010 [64]

Brazil

Death

2008-2010

NR

(LVEF) < 45.0%. Onset of symptoms>1 month

Same criteria and excluded co-morbidities

NR

Moderate stage

100/62

6/2

100/62

1.86

NR (NR)

NR

Cruz, 2010 [65]

Brazil

Cardiac death

NR

NR

HF; clinics, patients under maximal tolerated medical treatment

IDC (33%), HTA (13%), ischemic (12%)

SD and progressive HF

Moderate stage

21/55

7/11

23/61

1.69

RR=2.75 (1.35–5.63)

NR

Barbosa, 2011 [66]

Brazil

Death or HT

2000-2008

Serology

LVEF <55% in ECG or <50% on Radio-nuclide ventriculography

IDC with same ECG criteria and in the absence of concomitant obstructive coronary artery disease

NR

Moderate stage

246/106

109/16

574/247

2.932

HR=3.29 (1.89–5.73)

Cox proportional hazards model multi-variate analysis

Ayub-Ferreira, 2013 [39]

Brazil

Death

1999-2010

ELISA & IFAT & HAI

Clinical trial. Chagas All stages

Similar but uninfected. Mixed aetiology, not specified

SD (14.5%), HF (22.2%)

All stages

55/287

31/29

196/1024

5.58

HR= 2.76 (1.34–5.6)

NR

Bestetti, 2013 [67]

Brazil

Death

2000-2008

Serology

Chronic systolic HF

Same criteria for systemic HTA and chronic systolic heart failure

NR

Moderate stage

244/130

185/35

1220/650

2.82

HR=2.2 (1.47–3.40)

Cox proportional hazard model adjusted for confounders

Peixoto, 2015 [22]

Brazil

Death

2005-2012

NR

Patients under cardiac resynchronization therapy; mean LVEF = 25.3

Same characteristics but Ischemic and idiopathic aetiologies

NR

Severe stage

115/311

86/111

310/839

2.10

NR (NR)

NR

Traina, 2015 [68]

USA and CAa

Death or HT

2007-2010

IFAT & ELISA

Cardio-myopathy with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF of ≤40%) and previous residence in Latin America

Any aetiology identified

NR

Moderate stage

25/110

9/11

42/209

4.07

HR=4.46 (1.8–10.8)

Un-adjusted

Sherbuk, 2015 [69]

Bolivia

Death

2012-2013

ELISA & HAI & TESA blot

From asymptomatic to severe cases

Similar stages but uninfected

NR

All stages

160/60

23/4

394/462

2.42

HR=1.78 (1.19–2.65)

NR

  1. ID identification; exp exposed (Chagas-positive); non-exp non-exposed (Chagas-negative); Crude RR crude relative risk estimated manually form the data in the paper; 95%CI 95% Confidence Interval; HR hazard ratio; OR odds ratio; CF complement fixation test; ELISA Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay; HAI hemagglutination inhibition test; IFAT immunofluorescent test; TESA Trypanosoma cruzi excreted-secreted antigens blot; LVEF left ventricular ejection fraction; ECG electrocardiogram; RBBB right bundle branch block; IDC idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy; HF heart failure; HT heart transplant; HTA arterial hypertension; SD sudden death; GenP general population; NYHA New York Heart Association Functional Classification; NR not reported. a CA Central America 90%. The references are as appear on the main text