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Table 2 The M12 Model Set. The effects associated with each parameter, including the month used in the analysis, the parameter estimate, and in parentheses the standard error of the parameter estimate, are shown. The models included in the multimodel inference add to a weight of greater than or equal to 0.95. For this subset of models the weights have been rescaled to equal 1

From: Development and validation of a climate-based ensemble prediction model for West Nile Virus infection rates in Culex mosquitoes, Suffolk County, New York

Model rank

AICc

Weight

Temperature

Precipitation

Specific humidity

L1SM

1

594.0

0.168

April 0.635 (0.111)

June 0.322 (0.093)

 

July -0.007 (0.003)

 

April -1255.622 (296.610)

   

2

594.1

0.166

April 0.998 (0.091)

  

March 0.005 (0.001)

August 0.004 (0.001)

April -1993.274 (343.940)

   

3

594.3

0.145

February −0.197 (0.046)

April 0.832 (0.095)

 

April -0.008 (0.002)

 

April -1169.784 (316.260)

   

4

594.7

0.121

April 0.801 (0.094)

  

April -0.010 (0.002)

 

February -1244.152 (305.760)

April -999.791 (301.920)

  

5

595.8

0.069

April 0.524 (0.086)

  

June 0.006 (0.002)

   

March 0.439 (0.083)

April -0.453 (0.079)

6

596.1

0.061

April 0.797 (0.083)

  

July -0.009 (0.003)

 

April -1607.247 (307.630)

June 476.888 (129.990)

  

7

596.4

0.053

June 0.688 (0.090)

August 0.357 (0.121)

 

May 0.015 (0.005)

 

March 433.041 (132.250)

   

8

596.6

0.046

April 0.298 (0.088)

June 0.480 (0.100)

 

April -0.006 (0.003)

June 0.006 (0.002)

    

9

597.1

0.037

March 0.157 (0.045)

June 0.641 (0.097)

August 0.312 (0.126)

June 0.004 (0.002)

     

10

597.5

0.029

June 0.727 (0.099)

August 0.528 (0.116)

 

January -0.013 (0.004)

May 0.022 (0.005)

    

11

597.5

0.030

April 0.699 (0.107)

    

April -1057.684 (320.540)

 

March 0.313 (0.069)

April -0.323 (0.072)

12

598.3

0.019

May 0.848 (0.150)

July 0.314 (0.080)

 

April -0.011 (0.002)

 

May -1128.343 (245.040)

   

13

598.4

0.019

June 0.668 (0.091)

August 0.389 (0.114)

 

April -0.007 (0.003)

May 0.019 (0.005)

    

14

598.5

0.018

March 0.145 (0.045)

June 0.644 (0.093)

August 0.397 (0.119)

May 0.014 (0.005)

     

15

599.5

0.011

April 0.522 (0.101)

June 0.352 (0.091)

 

April -0.005 (0.002)

 

April -1071.483 (294.770)

   

16

599.8

0.009

April 0.430 (0.097)

June 0.408 (0.107)

 

March 0.004 (0.001)

June 0.009 (0.002)

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