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Table 6 Predicted mean prevalence by matrix A for dataset 4 (longitudinal Mali data)

From: Development and evaluation of a Markov model to predict changes in schistosomiasis prevalence in response to praziquantel treatment: a case study of Schistosoma mansoni in Uganda and Mali

  Low intensity (predicted mean prevalence and 95 % CI) Moderate intensity (predicted mean prevalence and 95 % CI) High intensity (predicted mean prevalence and 95 % CI) Overall prevalence (predicted mean prevalence and 95 % CI)
Matrix Year 1 Year 2 Year 1 Year 2 Year 1 Year 2 Year 1 Year 2
Observed prevalence dataset 4 0.113
(0.094–0.135)
0.122
(0.102–0.145)
0.052
(0.040–0.069)
0.036
(0.025–0.050)
0.023
(0.015–0.036)
0.008
(0.004–0.016)
0.188
(0.164–0.215)
0.165
(0.142–0.191)
Matrix A
Full dataset
0.112
(0.095–0.129)
0.096
(0.079–0.115)
0.049
(0.039–0.059)
0.035
(0.025–0.046)
0.027
(0.020–0.035)
0.018
(0.011–0.027)
0.188
(0.169–0.207)
0.149
(0.126–0.174)
  1. Bold = observed point prevalence values fell outside of the predicted boundaries