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Table 3 Bayesian information criterion (BIC) values for the generalized additive mixed models run for the long-term and recently endemic regions exploring the effect of summer temperature and precipitation during the previous year’s larval questing period (L-HDD), and that year’s nymphal questing period (N-HDD)

From: The impact of temperature and precipitation on blacklegged tick activity and Lyme disease incidence in endemic and emerging regions

Model

De-trending Model

Year

L-HDD

N-HDD

Long-term endemic region

1140.1

1144.5

1141.7

1122.4

Recently endemic region

5976.0

5818.1

5825.7

5822.1

  1. The de-trending models included CDC reporting type, a smoothing term for latitude and longitude, and county as a random effect. BIC values show model improvement for L-HDD, N-HDD, and year when added to the de-trending models. Values in bold indicate a significant improvement