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Table 2 Output of the GAM models M1 and M2, and the logistic regression model M3. M1 and M2 are minimal adequate models to explain mosquito abundance, and M3 is the model to explain presence and absence of dengue cases

From: Meteorological variables and mosquito monitoring are good predictors for infestation trends of Aedes aegypti, the vector of dengue, chikungunya and Zika

Model

Variable

Estimate

Standard Error

χ 2

P-value

M1

Intercept

-1.477

0.058

 

< 0.001

s(Tmin t-4)

Smooth

 

352.3

< 0.001

s (hum t-4)

Smooth

 

37.1

< 0.001

M2

Intercept

-1.590

0.038

 

< 0.001

s(Tmin t-4)

Smooth

 

27.9

< 0.001

s(MAaefem t-1 )

Smooth

 

296.3

< 0.001

   

z-value

 

M3

Intercept

-2.376

0.3835

-6.196

< 0.001

MFAIt-3

2.298

0.499

4.599

< 0.001