Table 3 Posterior estimates of the effect of environmental factors on parasitaemia risk in 2009 and 2014

 < 27.84 / < 31.4

1

1

 27.84–30.18 / 31.4–33.8

1.68 (1.44–2.14)^a

2.75 (2.03–3.64)^a

 > = 30.19 / > = 33.8

1.41 (1.28–1.76)^a

2.19 (1.79–3.39)^a

Night LST

1.55 (1.39–1.67)^a

1.44 (1.19–1.60)^a

 Rural vs urban

7.80 (4.88–11.09)^a

3.70 (2.56–4.88)^a

NDVI

1.25 (1.10–1.51)^a

 < 17.11 / < 17.14

1

 17.11–18.49 / 17.14–18.79

1.13 (0.93–1.23)

 > = 18.50 / > = 18.79

1.39 (1.12–1.49)^a

 < 1098

1

 1098–1201

0.89 (0.81–0.95)^a

 > = 1202

0.43 (0.38–0.47)^a

 Others

1

 Crops

1.19 (1.13–1.43)^a

 Spatial variance

1.12 (0.99–1.20)

0.54 (0.49–0.59)

 Range (km)

43.3 (12.2–57.8)

43.8 (36.3–48.2)