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Table 3 Best-performing Generalized Additive Model (GAM) estimating EEEV presence/absence in Cs. melanura. All explanatory variables included in the model are listed in the left-most column, including the most important spatial scale or temporal lag for that variable. The proportion of the deviance explained by each explanatory variable is listed in the right-most column. The proportion of the total deviance explained by the full model is listed in the left-most column header. For the sixth variable listed, there were two time periods when hydrological conditions were important. The variable for the second important time-period and the output values that change between models are listed in brackets

From: Wetland characteristics linked to broad-scale patterns in Culiseta melanura abundance and eastern equine encephalitis virus infection

Response: EEEV Pres/Abs (Deviance explained: 0.49 [0.46])

χ 2

P

Deviance explained

Emergent Wetland 2000 m

8.2 [4.6]

0.01 [0.06]*

0.01

Evergreen Forested Wetland 1000 m

0 [1.4]

0.3 [0.1]

0

Deciduous Forested Wetland 5000 m

6.1 [15.6]

0.005 [< 0.001]*

0.03 [0.01]

Scrub/Shrub Wetland 5000 m

0 [0]

0.8 [1]

0

Average Forested Wetland Size 1500 m

2.1 [0.01]

0.08 [0.2]

0.01 [0.02]

Relative semi-permanent wetland 500 m* PHDI (10 lag) OR [Relative semi-permanent wetland 500 m* PHDI (0 lag)]

43.5 [24.7]

< 0.001*

0.06

Impervious Surfaces 200 m

3.7 [3.9]

0.1 [0.1]

0.01

Month

50.1 [51.6]

< 0.001*

0.17

Mean Cs. melanura abundance

70.9 [53.8]

< 0.001*

0.15

% Gravid Traps (linear)

-4.3 [−4.7] (z)

< 0.001*

0.05

  1. *P < 0.05