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Table 3 Regression coefficients, RRs and 95% CrI from Bayesian spatial and non-spatial models for dengue cases from 2005 to 2013

From: Spatial and temporal patterns of dengue infections in Timor-Leste, 2005–2013

Model/variables Coefficient, posterior mean (95% CrI) RR, posterior mean (95% CrI)
Model I (unstructured)
 α (Intercept) -14.09 (-16.1, -11.03)  
 Childrena -1.343 (-1.429, -1.257) 0.26 (0.24, 0.285)
 Sexb 0.111 (0.035, 0.187) 1.12 (1.036, 1.206)
 Temperature mean (°C) 0.007 (0.006, 0.008) 1.007 (1.006, 1.008)
 Precipitation (mm) 0.382 (0.258, 0.462) 1.47 (1.294, 1.587)
 Omega 0.77 (0.753, 0.786)  
Heterogeneity
 Structured
 Unstructured 0.068 (0.047, 0.094)
 DIC 13,685.9c  
Model II (structured)
 α (Intercept) -23.07 (-27.75, -15.0)  
 Childrena -1.34 (-1.568, -1.118) 0.26 (0.208, 0.327)
 Sexb 0.115 (-0.105, 0.34) 1.12 (0.9, 1.405)
 Temperature mean (°C) 0.007 (0.004, 0.009) 1.01 (1.004, 1.009)
 Precipitation (mm) 0.502 (0.244, 0.685) 1.65 (1.276, 1.984)
 Omega 0.767 (0.735, 0.797)  
Heterogeneity
 Structured 0.02 (0.014, 0.028)
 Unstructured
 DIC 13,808.2  
Model III (structured and unstructured)
 α (Intercept) -18.33 (-24.42, -7.246)  
 Childrena -1.342 (-1.46, -1.225) 0.26 (0.232, 0.294)
 Sexb 0.114 (−0.001, 0.232) 1.12 (0.999, 1.261)
 Temperature mean (°C) 0.007 (0.005, 0.009) 1.01 (1.005, 1.009)
 Precipitation (mm) 0.409 (0.023, 0.59) 1.51 (1.023, 1.804)
 Omega 0.768 (0.747, 0.788)  
Heterogeneity
 Structured 0.067 (0.024, 0.155)
 Unstructured 0.139 (0.072, 0.279)
 DIC 13,709.5  
  1. Abbreviations: CrI, credible interval; RR, relative risk; DIC, deviance information criterion
  2. aAge < 14 years was reference
  3. bMale sex was reference
  4. cBest-fit model