Leishmaniasis in Sri Lanka: spatial distribution and seasonal variations from 2009 to 2016

Parasites & Vectors

Table 3 Multiple regression method to model leishmaniasis cases using climatic variables

	Anuradhapura		Polonnaruwa		Hambantota		Matara		Kurunegala
Climatic variables	Coefficient of variable	P-value	Coefficient of variable	P-value	Coefficient of variable	P-value	Coefficient of variable	P-value	Coefficient of variable	P-value
Constant	509.05	0.146	-478.52	0.493	-327.84	0.001	-567.43	0.960	-485.88	0.055
R-square	0.587		0.444		0.833		0.620		0.658
Minimum temperature	-9.79	0.545	8.92	0.326	-0.02	0.742	2.95	0.760	0.01	0.903
Maximum temperature	25.37	0.376	-2.90	0.686	20.70	0.036	7.92	0.480	1.41	0.793
Average temperature	-21.95	0.302	3.76	0.676	-11.82	0.167	0.35	0.960	6.95	0.071
Rainy days	-3.78	0.533	1.12	0.699	5.58	0.084	6.76	0.110	0.67	0.640
Rainfall	-0.04	0.889	-0.13	0.313	-0.11	0.460	-0.15	0.180	0.00	0.911
Average wind speed	-4.53	0.543	-38.87	0.044	-4.26	0.794	2.70	0.260	3.44	0.565
Maximum wind speed	28.97	0.159	22.43	0.054	7.81	0.040	-3.17	0.780	-1.67	0.799
Average wind gust	-14.94	0.454	11.29	0.285	8.42	0.467	5.46	0.570	4.19	0.289
Humidity	-2.03	0.775	3.09	0.340	-3.04	0.019	2.08	0.610	-1.43	0.087
Cloud	-0.32	0.840	-0.45	0.701	2.33	0.593	-2.00	0.380	4.09	0.108
Sunny days	-6.76	0.288	0.04	0.989	0.70	0.802	4.96	0.270	0.96	0.467
Sun hours	-0.49	0.507	-0.30	0.582	-1.67	0.003	-0.18	0.770	-0.75	0.017

ISSN: 1756-3305