Fig. 3

Probability of DENV incidence in mosquitoes around patient locations. We calculated whether the probability that DENV incidence in mosquitoes around patient locations was larger than in other permutation of the locations “before human infection” (a), “after human infection” (b) or “before and after human infection” (c). The highest observed probability (1-mcp) was concentrated between 2.5 and 3 km spatial range and 30 to 70 days temporal range, with a maximum at 2.5 km and 50 days (red area) in the model “before human infection”