Fig. 10

95% confidence interval of coefficient estimates of variables from cross-validation multi-models and full dataset multi-model. Specific humidity in August had the lowest probability of being included in a multi-model. Soil moisture in March and August and temperature in June and August had relatively high probability of being among the competing models. Compared to the full model estimates, the 95% CI of parameter estimates from the cross-validation sets did not vary markedly. Note: multi-models for cross-validation years 2007, 2011 and 2014 not included; only one model was within 95% of the cumulative BIC weight for each of these years