Table 6 Multi-model inferred averaged model, from dataset omitting cross-validation years 2007, 2011 and 2014. Top models selected using delta BIC < 6. Effect size, directionality, 95% CI and relative importance of predictors closely resemble those of the predictors generated using the full dataset and 95% cumulative sum of BIC weights (Table 4)
Month | Variable | Coefficient estimate | 95% CI | Relative importance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Intercept | 0 | 0.00–0.00 | – | |
March | Soil moisture | 0.48 | 0.36–0.60 | 1.00 |
June | Temperature | -0.57 | -0.70– -0.44 | 1.00 |
July | Specific humidity | -0.49 | -0.61– -0.36 | 0.78 |
August | Specific humidity | -0.60 | -0.79– -0.40 | 1.00 |
August | Soil moisture | -0.33 | -0.46– -0.19 | 0.95 |