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Table 1 AUROC and correlation values for Maxent models. The average AUROC for each model over fifteen replicates and the standard deviation of those replicates are presented here. Also shown are the Spearman’s rank correlation coefficients (ρ) between each model’s predicted relative occurrence rate of a species and (i) that species’ abundance and (ii) the total number of pools positive for CHIKV across all species. P-values are listed in parentheses. Boldface text emphasizes statistically significant correlations (P < 0.01, α = 0.01 to account for multiple testing)

From: Ecological niche modeling of Aedes mosquito vectors of chikungunya virus in southeastern Senegal

  Presence points AUROC ρ Abundance ρ CHIKV
Two Year Models
Ae. aegypti 49 0.720 ± 0.126 0.13 (0.35) 0.39 (0.005)
Ae. africanus 11 0.769 ± 0.201 0.45 (0.001) 0.14 (0.33)
Ae. taylori 45 0.682 ± 0.130 -0.22 (0.12) 0.44 (0.001)
 Four-Speciesa 50 0.723 ± 0.151 Four-Species: 0.02 (0.89)
Ae. dalzieli: -0.10 (0.51)
Ae. furcifer: -0.11 (0.47)
Ae.luteocephalus: -0.04 (0.79)
Ae.vittatus: -0.10 (0.51)
0.37 (0.008)
November 2009 Models
Ae. dalzieli 45 0.744 ± 0.127 0.07 (0.64) 0.32 (0.03)
Ae. furcifer 35 0.683 ± 0.102 0.05 (0.71) 0.18 (0.21)
Ae.luteocephalus 10 0.727 ± 0.233 0.45 (0.001) 0.25 (0.07)
Ae.taylori 16 0.773 ± 0.178 0.51 (0.002) 0.56 (< 0.0001)
Ae.vittatus 22 0.820 ± 0.126 0.67 (0.001) 0.30 (0.17 )
November 2010 Models
Ae. dalzieli 42 0.746 ± 0.130 0.25 (0.08) 0.50 (0.0002)
Ae. furcifer 30 0.741 ± 0.136 0.30 (0.04) 0.43 (0.0002)
Ae.luteocephalus 10 0.782 ± 0.218 0.47 (0.0007) 0.24 (0.09)
Ae.taylori 17 0.786 ±0.190 0.63 (< 0.0001) 0.45 (0.009)
Ae.vittatus 12 0.811 ±0.120 0.46 (0.0007) 0.01 (0.92)
  1. aThe Four-Species model includes the four species that were present at all 50 sites: Ae. dalzieli, Ae. furcifer, Ae. luteocephalus, and Ae. vittatus. Correlations between the model’s predicted relative occurrence rate and both the four species’ overall combined abundance as well as the individual species’ abundances are shown. To be conservative, we only tested the correlation of the four species together against number of CHIKV pools; however, individual species correlations are shown in the November-Only models