Model | Variable | Time lag (weeks) | AIC | Residual deviance | Odds | 95% CI | P- value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Null | 1 | 0 | 173.4 | 171.4 | 0.13 | 0.08–0.19 | <0.001 |
Simple | Dengue imported | 4 | 113.27 | 109.27 | 2.42 | 1.84–3.32 | <0.001 |
Simple | Tweets | 4 | 117.74 | 113.74 | 1.03 | 1.02–1.04 | <0.001 |
Simple | Mosquito IMFA | 4 | 137.8 | 133.80 | 13.30 | 5.50–35.78 | <0.001 |
Simple | Maximum temperature | 4 | 151.3 | 147.30 | 1.26 | 1.13–1.41 | <0.001 |
Simple | DENV in mosquitoes | 4 | 164.65 | 160.65 | 1.83 | 1.26–2.76 | <0.01 |
Simple | Mean temperature | 0 | 169.36 | 173.36 | 1.06 | 0.97–1.17 | |
Simple | Minimum temperature | 0 | 172.77 | 168.77 | 1.08 | 0.98–1.19 | |
Simple | Humidity | 0 | 175.37 | 171.37 | 1.00 | 0.94–1.07 | |
Simple | Rain | 0 | 175.30 | 171.30 | 1.01 | 0.93–1.09 | |
M2 Multiple | Dengue imported | 4 | 67.19 | 55.19 | 5.93 | 2.68–17.70 | <0.001 |
Tweets | 1.06 | 1.04–1.10 | <0.001 | ||||
DENV in mosquitoes | 1.92 | 1.04–4.24 | |||||
Maximum temperature | 1.76 | 1.35–2.56 | <0.001 | ||||
Dengue imported:Tweets | 0.99 | 0.98–0.99 | <0.01 | ||||
Multiple | Dengue imported | 4 | 69.16 | 55.16 | 5.79 | 2.50–17.76 | <0.001 |
Tweets | 1.06 | 1.04–1.10 | <0.001 | ||||
Mosquito IMFA | 1.17 | 0.20–6.28 | |||||
DENV in mosquitoes | 1.93 | 1.05–4.27 | |||||
Maximum temperature | 1.75 | 1.34–2.56 | <0.001 | ||||
Dengue imported:Tweets | 0.99 | 0.98–0.99 | <0.01 | ||||
Multiple | Dengue imported | 4 | 78.57 | 68.57 | 1.92 | 1.34–3.06 | <0.01 |
DENV in mosquitoes | 1.68 | 0.98–3.07 | |||||
Tweets | 1.03 | 1.01–1.05 | <0.001 | ||||
Maximum temperature | 1.58 | 1.28–2.07 | <0.001 | ||||
Multiple | Dengue imported | 4 | 79.57 | 67.57 | 1.78 | 1.24–2.88 | <0.01 |
Mosquito IMFA | 2.16 | 0.46–9.88 | |||||
DENV in mosquitoes | 1.69 | 0.98–3.14 | |||||
Tweets | 1.03 | 1.02–1.05 | <0.001 | ||||
Maximum temperature | 1.54 | 1.24–2.03 | <0.001 | ||||
Multiple | Dengue imported | 4 | 80.13 | 72.13 | 1.95 | 1.35–3.08 | <0.01 |
Tweets | 1.03 | 1.02–1.05 | <0.001 | ||||
Maximum temperature | 1.52 | 1.25–1.94 | <0.01 | ||||
Multiple | Tweets | 4 | 94.79 | 88.79 | 1.04 | 1.03–1.06 | <0.001 |
Maximum temperature | 1.47 | 1.25–1.80 | <0.001 | ||||
Multiple | Dengue imported | 4 | 97.08 | 89.09 | 1.50 | 1.15–2.10 | <0.01 |
Tweets | 1.02 | 1.01–1.03 | <0.001 | ||||
Mosquito IMFA | 5.47 | 1.65–19.57 | <0.01 |