Table 1 Effects of minimum temperature and temperature delta on Culicoides relative abundance (mean and 95% confidence interval, CI) estimated from the Poisson regression model for each vector zone in mainland France

1-1

1.02 (0.91–1.15)

7.12 × 10⁻¹

0.84 (0.77–0.93)

5.33 × 10⁻⁴*

1-2

1.13 (1.07–1.20)

7.92 × 10⁻⁶

0.99 (0.93–1.06)

7.78 × 10⁻¹

1-3

1.05 (0.94–1.18)

3.86 × 10⁻¹

1.08 (0.95–1.24)

2.28 × 10⁻¹

1-4

0.86 (0.77–0.96)

6.51 × 10⁻³*

0.44 (0.31–0.62)

1.45 × 10⁻⁵*

1-5

1.02 (0.93–1.11)

7.17 × 10⁻¹

0.99 (0.90–1.08)

7.76 × 10⁻¹

1-6

0.83 (0.76–0.90)

1.85 × 10⁻⁵*

0.98 (0.91–1.05)

5.59 × 10⁻¹

1-7

0.85 (0.72–1.00)

4.75 × 10⁻²*

1.16 (1.00–1.35)

5.23 × 10⁻²

1-8

0.98 (0.89–1.09)

7.42 × 10⁻¹

0.91 (0.80–1.03)

1.39 × 10⁻¹

2-2

0.91 (0.87–0.94)

2.44 × 10⁻⁷*

1.02 (0.97–1.07)

5.05 × 10⁻¹

2-3

1.01 (0.97–1.05)

7.17 × 10⁻¹

0.91 (0.87–0.94)

3.78 × 10⁻⁶*

2-8

1.06 (0.95–1.19)

2.91 × 10⁻¹

1.02 (0.91–1.15)

7.43 × 10⁻¹

3-1

0.99 (0.90–1.09)

8.35 × 10⁻¹

0.86 (0.79–0.93)

2.67 × 10⁻⁴*

3-2

0.99 (0.93–1.05)

6.69 × 10⁻¹

1.08 (1.01–1.17)

3.74 × 10⁻²*

3-3

0.93 (0.87–1.00)

3.80 × 10⁻²*

1.03 (0.96–1.11)

3.74 × 10⁻¹

3-4

1.06 (0.96–1.16)

2.63 × 10⁻¹

1.04 (0.92–1.17)

5.39 × 10⁻¹

3-5

0.84 (0.78–0.91)

3.42 × 10⁻⁶*

1.01 (0.93–1.10)

8.30 × 10⁻¹

3-6

0.95 (0.87–1.04)

2.50 × 10⁻¹

0.95 (0.87–1.04)

2.62 × 10⁻¹

3-8

0.99 (0.88–1.10)

8.04 × 10⁻¹

1.05 (0.93–1.18)

4.34 × 10⁻¹

4-3

1.20 (1.09–1.31)

1.38 × 10⁻⁴*

1.02 (0.91–1.15)

7.47 × 10⁻¹

4-4

1.10 (0.98–1.24)

1.17 × 10⁻¹

1.04 (0.911 1.18)

5.77 × 10⁻¹

4-5

1.07 (1.00–1.15)

5.42 × 10⁻²

1.15 (1.06–1.25)

9.13 × 10⁻⁴*

4-6

1.12 (1.03–1.22)

1.14 × 10⁻²*

1.14 (1.03–1.25)

7.85 × 10⁻³*

5-5

0.88 (0.72–1.08)

2.14 × 10⁻¹

0.72 (0.57–0.91)

8.25 × 10⁻³*

6-8

1.02 (0.92–1.13)

7.04 × 10⁻¹

0.95 (0.85–1.06)

3.56 × 10⁻¹