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Fig. 6 | Parasites & Vectors

Fig. 6

From: Predicting the impact of outdoor vector control interventions on malaria transmission intensity from semi-field studies

Fig. 6

Characterisation of separate semi-field experiments from Mbita in terms of human availability rate (\(\alpha _{\text {H}}\)) and mosquito mortality/disarming rate before host encounter (\(\mu\)), as estimated with a model matching control and intervention experiments per night: spatial repellent control (\(\text{C}_\text{R}\), green) and intervention (\(\text{I}_\text{R}\), blue), trap control and intervention together (T, red), as well as push–pull control (\(\text{C}_\text{P}\), brown) and intervention (\(\text{I}_\text{P}\), purple). The parameterisation for trap control and intervention experiments are perfectly overlapping in terms of \(\alpha _{\text {H}}\) and \(\mu\) since they the trap is solely modelled by its relative availability, and not by a change of \(\alpha _{\text {H}}\) or \(\mu\). Each characterisation consists of a sample of 1000 points from the posterior (transparent points), the mean of the posterior (diamonds) and the 95% credible region with highest density after normal approximation of the posterior (ellipses)

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