Fig. 2

Model fits to Garki Project data for non-clumped egg-laying when fitting a power to density dependence with 95% credible intervals. Red points show counts of adult female mosquitoes (M) aggregated over individual villages for the first recorded rainy season in the data; for villages 4 and 5, a second rainy season denoted by S2 is also fitted to. Parameters for simulations were obtained from the median posteriors estimated by pMCMC fitting and 95% credible intervals from repeated samples of the joint posterior estimate