Association between densities of adult and immature stages of Aedes aegypti mosquitoes in space and time: implications for vector surveillance

Table 1 Posterior mean fixed effects and 95% confidence intervals for the number of adult Aedes aegypti females in temporal modeling in the Vila Toninho neighborhood of São José do Rio Preto, São Paulo State, Brazil

Model	Covariate	Mean	95% CI	DIC
Intercept		26.12	24.54–27.73	711.9
Intercept + AR1		21.80	10.34–40.63	257.1
BI + AR1	Intercept	20.56	10.88–34.13	255.3
BI + AR1	BI	1.46	1.22–1.72	255.3
Min Temp + AR1	Intercept	20.01	14.76–25.76	255.9
Min Temp + AR1	Min Temp	1.78	1.43–2.16	255.9
Precip + AR1	Intercept	22.23	10.14–42.66	258.0
Precip + AR1	Precip	1.16	0.95–1.40	258.0
BI + Min Temp + AR1	Intercept	19.78	12.85–27.28	254.9*
	BI	1.27	1.06–1.50
	Min Temp	1.51	1.19–1.89
BI + Precip + AR1	Intercept	21.11	9.73–38.20	256.6
	BI	1.46	1.24–1.71
	Precip	1.17	0.99–1.35
BI + Min Temp + Precip + AR1	Intercept	19.86	12.16–28.68	255.8
	BI	1.29	1.07–1.53
	Min Temp	1.44	1.11–1.84
	Precip	1.09	0.92–1.26

AR1, Temporal random effect; BI, Breteau index; CI, confidence interval; DIC, deviance information criterion; Min Temp, average minimum temperature; Precip, average daily precipitation
*Best DIC

ISSN: 1756-3305