Table 2 Posterior rate ratio estimates and 97.5% credible interval (CI) for the best fitting model (Model 1) for An. gambiae (s.l.) and An. funestus (s.l.). The model includes all data range (2011–2015) and incorporates the effects of interventions. For the spatio-temporal specification, a parameter for the spatial range of influence is shown

Mean

2.5%

50%

97.5%

Mean

2.5%

50%

97.5%

Distance to water (estimated in km)

0.8941

0.8520

0.8940

0.9367

0.8421

0.7819

0.8421

0.9064

Elevation (m above sea level)

0.9805

0.9162

0.9804

1.0520

1.0089

0.9294

1.0089

1.0955

Night-time light (intensity)

0.9749

0.9118

0.9748

1.0420

–

–

–

–

EVI

1.1434

1.0512

1.1433

1.2429

1.1606

1.0150

1.1605

1.3267

Temperature (estimated in °C)

0.9982

0.9166

0.9981

1.0868

–

–

–

–

Precipitation (mm)

1.0745

1.0185

1.0745

1.1331

0.9419

0.8438

0.9419

1.0475

Number of households within 50 m

0.9739

0.9153

0.9739

1.0371

0.9603

0.8885

0.9603

1.0384

IRS

0.5941

0.1432

0.5783

0.8577

0.1508

0.0144

0.1472

0.8495

LLIN

1.0026

0.9242

1.0025

1.0884

0.9770

0.8581

0.9769

1.1140

Spatial range (km) for Matérn covariance

4.6341

0.2772

4.6231

5.5876

2.2395

0.1996

2.2284

3.7029