A systematic review and meta-analysis of Toxoplasma gondii infection among the Mexican population

  • Ma de la Luz Galvan-Ramirez1Email author,

    Affiliated with

    • Rogelio Troyo1,

      Affiliated with

      • Sonia Roman3,

        Affiliated with

        • Carlos Calvillo-Sanchez1 and

          Affiliated with

          • Rosamaria Bernal-Redondo2

            Affiliated with

            Parasites & Vectors20125:271

            DOI: 10.1186/1756-3305-5-271

            Received: 10 August 2012

            Accepted: 27 October 2012

            Published: 26 November 2012

            Abstract

            Background

            Toxoplasmosis is a disease caused by Toxoplasma gondii and at least one-third of the world’s population has detectable T. gondii antibodies. The seroprevalence of T.gondii ranges from 15% to 50% among the Mexican general population. The aim of this work was to determine the mean prevalence and weighted mean prevalence of T. gondii infection, and to evaluate the epidemiological transition of infection in Mexico.

            Methods

            Pub Med, Lilacs, Medline, Latindex, Google Scholar data bases were searched to retrieve reports from 1951 up to 2012 regarding prevalence data, diagnostic tests and risk factors of infection among the adult population. Data collection and criteria eligibility was established in order to determine the crude prevalence (proportion of positive cases) of each study, together with weighted population prevalence according to individual research group categories to limit the bias that may impose the heterogeneous nature of the reports. A Forest Plot chart and linear regression analysis were performed by plotting the prevalence of infection reported from each study over a period of sixty years.

            Results

            A total of 132 studies were collected from 41 publications that included 70,123 individuals. The average mean prevalence was 27.97%, and weighted mean prevalence was 19.27%. Comparisons among different risk groups showed that the weighted prevalence was higher in women with miscarriages (36.03%), immunocompromised patients (28.54%), mentally-ill patients (38.52%) and other risk groups (35.13%). Toxoplasma infection among the Mexican population showed a downward trend of 0.1%/year over a period of sixty years that represents a 5.8% reduction in prevalence.

            Conclusions

            This analysis showed a downward trend of infection; however, there are individuals at high risk for infection such as immunocompromised patients, mentally-ill patients and pregnant women. Further research is required to provide better prevention strategies, effective diagnostic testing and medical management of patients. Educational efforts are required to avoid the transmission of infection in populations that cannot be controlled by drugs alone.

            Keywords

            Toxoplasmosis Toxoplasma infection Mexican population Epidemiology Meta-analysis

            Background

            Toxoplasmosis is a disease caused by Toxoplasma gondii (T. gondii). It was described in a North African rodent (Ctenodactylus gondii) by Nicolle and Manceaux in 1908 [1]. The T. gondii is an obligate intracellular parasite with a complex life cycle, in which homeothermic animals, including humans are capable of acting as intermediate hosts. Humans acquire the parasite by the oral route through the consumption of undercooked meat contaminated with cysts, food products (vegetables and fruits) or water contaminated with oocysts [1, 2]. Other routes of transmission are organ transplantation [3, 4], blood transfusion [5] and congenital transmission. Butchers, slaughterhouse workers and laboratory personnel that handle cultures and animal models with this parasite are also at risk. However, for the majority of the human population, transmission generally occurs by any of the routes aforementioned [6].

            T. gondii is found worldwide because a large variety of animals may harbor the parasite and maintain its dissemination. Its broad geographic location is related to several factors, such as contact with infected cat feces and ingestion of mature oocysts [7], food habits and variations in climate. The later has a significant influence on the habitat of T. gondii; for instance, an increase in ambient temperature and precipitation can change the humidity of the soil, so that the sporulated oocysts remain viable in the moist environment for a longer period [8, 9].

            T. gondii is considered as the most prevalent parasitic zoonotic disease worldwide [10], since at least one-third of the world’s population is infected [11]. Infections caused by T. gondii are more frequent in temperate zones than in cold ones; thus, France has the highest prevalence of 90%, whereas the lowest prevalence is found in Alaska with only 1%. However, global warming has caused an increase of T. gondii infections in different regions of the world as a result of changing environmental conditions [8].

            The mean prevalence of T. gondii infection among the Mexican general population is 50%; however, there are variations that depend on climate and humidity. Several risk groups have been identified with high prevalence of infection such as cat owners, people who consume raw or undercooked meat, immunocompromised patients and those that undergo organ transplantation [3, 4]. Furthermore, we recently carried out a meta-analysis on reports of toxoplasmosis among Mexican newborns. The weighted prevalence in 4833 asymptomatic newborns was 0.616%, whereas, among 895 symptomatic newborns, the weighed prevalence was 3.02% [12].

            Diagnostic testing for toxoplasmosis can be done by staining body fluids or mouse inoculation to see if Toxoplasma parasites develop. Skin test antigen (toxoplasmin) (STA), and serological procedures such as the Complement Fixation Test (CF), Latex Flocculation Test (LF), Sabin and Feldman (SF), Indirect Haemagglutination Test (IHA), Indirect Immunofluorescence assay (IFI), and Enzyme-linked immunosorbet assay (ELISA) have been employed to detect specific antibodies in screening programs and also as adjuncts to the diagnosis of acute toxoplasmosis. More recently other methods have been developed such as Western-blot and detection of DNA with polymerase chain reaction (PCR) [1, 4].

            Treatment for human toxoplasmosis is highly important for immunocompromised patients or acutely infected pregnant women. Various pharmacological agents are available such as pyrimethamine alone or combined with sulfadiazine. Atovaquone has been used as a second course of treatment for retinochoroiditis. Azithromycin is used as an alternative in the treatment of ocular and cerebral toxoplasmosis in AIDS patients, as well as, for active, non-vision-threatening toxoplasmic retinochoroiditis with satisfactory results [1, 13, 14].

            The purpose of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to evaluate the seroprevalence of toxoplasmosis and its relationship with different risk factors. The understanding of these relationships can aid in the analysis of the epidemiological pattern of disease among different population groups and the epidemiologic shift of T gondii infection in Mexico.

            Methods

            Ethical Aspects

            This study was approved by the Ethical Committee of the Health Sciences Center of the University of Guadalajara # C.I.100-2012.

            Database search

            Five databases were searched (Pub Med, Lilacs, Medline, Latindex and Google Scholar) from January to June of 2012. The following limits were applied: published January 1951 to 2012, the first case of human T. gondii infection was reported in an 11-month old girl from the Pediatric Hospital at Mexico City in 1950 [15], written in English or Spanish and undertaken in adults. The search terms were “infection with Toxoplasma”, “toxoplasmosis”, “epidemiology”, “risk factors”, “infection by T. gondii, Mexico” “anti-Toxoplasma antibodies” alone or combined.

            Data collection

            All retrieved studies were studied carefully by two investigators (GRML and BR). The extracted data included: year of publication, characteristics of the study population, location of the study, sample size, number of cases, diagnostic test and risk factors. Abstracts were included if considered acceptable, but were not included in the meta-analysis for risk factors. Reference lists of full-text publications and textbooks were also examined to identify studies not retrieved by the original search.

            Data analysis

            The crude prevalence data and the weighted prevalence were calculated for each study (Table 1) [1659]. Seven different types of diagnostic tests were identified during the literature search. Table 2 summarizes their main characteristics, sensitivity and specificity, and their timeline of employment in Mexico. Study groups were also stratified according to categories alone (Table 3) or by combining the risk group and diagnostic test used in each study [6066] (Table 4).
            Table 1

            Publications included for meta-analysis with diagnostic methods and population characteristics

            Sequence

            Year

            First Author

            State

            Municipality

            Test

            Category

            Number of cases

            Positive cases

            Prevalence (%)

            Reference

            1

            1951

            BiagiF.

            Tamaulipas

            Tampico

            STA

            GP

            231

            108

            47

            [16]

            2

            1952

            Biagi F.

            México

            Mexico

            STA

            IC

            155

            58

            37.4

            [49]

            3

            1952

            Bustos C.

            Veracruz

            Orizaba

            STA

            GP

            86

            31

            51

            [17]

            4

            1953

            Biagi F.

            Campeche

            Escarcega

            STA

            GP

            132

            76

            56.8

            [18]

            5

            1953

            Varela G.

            Estado de Mexico

            Toluca

            STA

            GP

            500

            81

            16

            [19]

            6

             

            Varela G.

            Mexico

            México

            STA

            CM

            116

            19

            16

            [19]

            7

             

            Varela G.

            Mexico

            México

            STA

            CM

            47

            7

            14.8

            [19]

            8

             

            Varela G.

            Mexico

            México

            STA

            CM

            102

            13

            12.7

            [19]

            9

             

            Varela G.

             

            Zoquiapan

            STA

            IC

            107

            13

            14

            [19]

            10

            1954

            Gutierrez E.B.

            México

            México

            CFT

            MI

            58

            14

            24.14

            [53]

            11

            1955

            Varela G.

            Mexico

            México

            SF

            GP

            60

            16

            26.7

            [20]

            12

             

            Varela G.

            Michoacan

            N.E.

            SF

            GP

            22

            6

            27.3

            [20]

            13

             

            Varela G.

            Mexico

            México

            SF

            GP

            104

            39

            37.5

            [20]

            14

             

            Varela G.

            Oaxaca

            Oaxaca

            SF

            GP

            276

            96

            34.8

            [20]

            15

             

            Varela G.

            Tamaulipas

            N.E.

            SF

            GP

            230

            90

            39

            [20]

            16

             

            Varela G.

            Yucatan

            N.E.

            SF

            GP

            17

            11

            64.7

            [20]

            17

             

            Varela G.

            Distrito federal

            Mexico

            SF

            MI

            91

            54

            59

            [20]

            18

             

            Varela G.

            Puebla

            N.E.

            SF

            GP

            44

            41

            93.2

            [20]

            19

            1957

            Biagi F.

            México

            Ixtapalapa, D.F.

            STA

            GP

            272

            37

            13.6

            [21]

            20

            1961

            Varela G.

            Baja, California

            Mexicali

            SF

            GP

            73

            26

            35.9

            [22]

            21

             

            Varela G.

            Chihuahua

            Chihuahua

            SF

            GP

            12

            3

            25

            [22]

            22

             

            Varela G.

            México

            Distrito Federal

            SF

            GP

            2,463

            783

            31.8

            [22]

            23

             

            Varela G.

            Hidalgo

            Apan

            SF

            GP

            409

            117

            28.6

            [22]

            24

             

            Varela G.

            Estado de Mexico

            Toluca

            SF

            GP

            64

            15

            23.4

            [22]

            25

             

            Varela G.

            Michoacan

            Morelia

            SF

            GP

            35

            11

            31.42

            [22]

            26

             

            Varela G.

            Morelos

            Various

            SF

            GP

            208

            54

            25.96

            [22]

            27

             

            Varela G.

            Nayarit

            Tepic

            SF

            GP

            112

            25

            22.3

            [22]

            28

             

            Varela G.

            Oaxaca

            Oaxaca and Tuxtepec

            SF

            GP

            546

            107

            19.59

            [22]

            29

             

            Varela G.

            Puebla

            Puebla

            SF

            GP

            170

            61

            35.9

            [22]

            30

             

            Varela G.

            Queretaro

            Various

            SF

            GP

            90

            33

            36.66

            [22]

            31

             

            Varela G.

            Sinaloa

            Culiacan

            SF

            GP

            311

            109

            35

            [22]

            32

             

            Varela G.

            Sinaloa

            Mazatlan

            SF

            GP

            100

            16

            16

            [22]

            33

             

            Varela G.

            Tabasco

            Macuspana

            SF

            GP

            108

            38

            35.2

            [22]

            34

             

            Varela G.

            Tamaulipas

            Ciudad Victoria

            SF

            GP

            220

            39

            17.7

            [22]

            35

             

            Varela G.

            Tamaulipas

            Nuevo Laredo

            SF

            GP

            100

            28

            28

            [22]

            36

             

            Varela G.

            Tlaxcala

            Tlaxcala

            SF

            GP

            594

            144

            24.2

            [22]

            37

             

            Varela G.

            Veracruz

            Boca del Rio

            SF

            GP

            93

            36

            38.7

            [22]

            38

             

            Varela G.

            Veracruz

            Soconusco

            SF

            GP

            121

            39

            32.2

            [22]

            39

             

            Varela G.

            Veracruz

            Veracruz

            SF

            GP

            125

            30

            24

            [22]

            40

             

            Varela G.

            Yucatan

            Merida

            SF

            GP

            17

            11

            64.7

            [22]

            41

            1962

            Carrillo C.

            México

            Mexico

            SF

            BD

            232

            73

            31.4

            [46]

            42

            1965

            Espinosa de los Reyes VM,

            México

            Mexico

            SF

            PW

            329

            112

            34

            [37]

            43

            1966

            Roch E.

            Distrito Federal

            México

            SF

            MW

            2,320

            815

            35.13

            [44]

            44

            1966

            Roch E.

            Mexico

            All States

            SF

            GP

            14,869

            4,411

            30

            [23]

            45

            1972

            Goldsmith RS.

            Oaxaca

            Puerto Escondido

            IHA

            GP

            159

            2

            1.26

            [24]

            46

            1972

            Goldsmith RS.

            Oaxaca

            Mixteca Alta

            IHA

            GP

            114

            0

            0

            [24]

            47

            1972

            Goldsmith RS.

            Oaxaca

            Ixtlan

            IHA

            GP

            48

            2

            4.2

            [24]

            48

            1972

            Goldsmith RS.

            Oaxaca

            Región del Valle

            IHA

            GP

            150

            5

            3.3

            [24]

            49

            1972

            Goldsmith RS.

            Oaxaca

            Tehuantepec

            IHA

            GP

            137

            18

            13

            [24]

            50

            1974

            Biagi F.

            Mexico

            México

            FL

            WP

            367

            73

            19.9

            [35]

            51

            1986

            Fernandez Terrano

            Tabasco

            Region de los Rios

            IFI-G

            WP

            125

            75

            60

            [36]

            52

            1989

            Galvan-Ramirez ML.

             

            Jalisco

            IFI-G

            GP

            807

            25

            3.1

            [25]

            53

            1989

            Zavala-Velazquez J.

            Yucatan

            Merida

            IFI-G

            MW

            100

            47

            47

            [45]

            54

            1991

            Goldsmith RS.

            Oaxaca

            60 municipalities

            IHA

            GP

            3,229

            124

            3.8

            [26]

            55-86

            1991

            Velasco- Castrejon O.

            Mexico

            All states

            IFI-G

            GP

            29,279

            9,371

            32

            [27]

            87

            1995

            Galvan-Ramirez ML.

            Jalisco

            Guadalajara

            ELISA-G

            PW

            350

            122

            34.9

            [39]

            88

             

            Galvan-Ramirez ML

            Jalisco

            Guadalajara

            ELISA-G

            MW

            105

            48

            44.9

            [39]

            89

             

            Galvan-Ramirez ML

            Jalisco

            Guadalajara

            ELISA-G

            PW

            50

            13

            26.01

            [39]

            90

            1997

            Galvan-Ramirez ML

            Jalisco

            Guadalajara

            ELISA-G

            IC

            39

            27

            69.2

            [50]

            91

             

            Galvan-Ramirez ML

            Jalisco

            Guadalajara

            ELISA-G

            IC

            53

            19

            35.8

            [50]

            92

            1997

            Tay J.

            Distrito Fed.

            México

            ELISA-G

            MI

            328

            125

            38

            [54]

            93

            1998

            Gongora R.

            Yucatan

            Mérida

            ELISA-G

            IC

            95

            45

            47

            [47]

            95

             

            Gongora R.

            Yucatan

            Mérida

            ELISA-G

            BD

            100

            69

            69

            [47]

            93

            1999

            Galvan-Ramirez ML

            Jalisco

            Guadalajara

            ELISA-G

            ORG

            59

            38

            64

            [7]

            96

            2000

            Kelso Santos E.

            Nuevo Leon

            Monterrey

            ELISA-G

            GP

            400

            82

            20.5

            [29]

            97

            2003

            Jaramillo P.J.

            Estado de Mexico

            Toluca

            ELISA-G

            PW

            372

            47

            12.61

            [40]

            98

            2004

            Galvan-Ramirez ML

            Jalisco

            Guadalajara

            ELISA-G

            PW

            30

            14

            47

            [38]

            99

             

            Galvan-Ramirez ML

            Jalisco

            Guadalajara

            ELISA-G

            PW

            30

            13

            43

            [38]

            100

             

            Galvan-Ramirez ML

            Jalisco

            Guadalajara

            ELISA-G

            PW

            60

            17

            28.3

            [38]

            101

            2005

            Galvan-Ramirez ML

            Jalisco

            Guadalajara

            ELISA-G

            BD

            359

            104

            29

            [5]

            102

            2006

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durago

            Guadalajara

            ELISA-G

            PW

            343

            21

            6.1

            [41]

            103

            2007

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durango

            Durango

            ELISA-G

            BD

            432

            32

            7.4

            [48]

            104

            2008

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durango

            Durango

            ELISA-G

            ORG

            90

            19

            21.1

            [58]

            105

             

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durango

            Durango

            ELISA-G

            ORG

            83

            7

            8.4

            [58]

            106

            2008

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durango

            Durango

            ELISA-G

            GP

            187

            67

            35.8

            [30]

            107

            2008

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durango

            Durango

            ELISA-G

            GP

            121

            20

            16.5

            [30]

            108

            2008

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durango

            Durango

            ELISA-G

            GP

            155

            23

            14.8

            [30]

            109

            2008

            Galvan-Ramirez ML.

            Jalisco

            Guadalajara

            ELISA-G

            ORG

            145

            104

            72

            [6]

            110

            2009

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durango

            Guadalajara

            ELISA-G

            PG

            439

            36

            8.2

            [42]

            111

            2009

            Cañedo-Solares I.

            Distrito Federal

            Mexico

            ELISA-G

            PG

            100

            30

            30

            [43]

            112

            2010

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durango

            Durango

            ELISA-G

            GP

            248

            22

            8

            [31]

            113

            2010

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durango

            Durango

            ELISA-G

            GP

            61

            4

            6.6

            [56]

            114

             

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durango

            Durango

            ELISA-G

            GP

            203

            17

            8.4

            [56]

            115

             

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durango

            Durango

            ELISA-G

            GP

            168

            10

            6.6

            [56]

            116

            2010

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durago

            Durango

            ELISA-G

            GP

            152

            46

            30

            [31]

            117

            2010

            Galvan-Ramirez ML

            Jalisco

            Guadalajara

            ELISA-G

            GP

            174

            30

            17.8

            [28]

            118

            2010

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durango

            Durango

            ELISA-G

            CM

            85

            7

            8.2

            [51]

            119

             

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durango

            Durango

            ELISA-G

            CM

            50

            5

            10

            [51]

            120

             

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durango

            Durango

            ELISA-G

            CM

            234

            28

            12

            [51]

            121

             

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durango

            Durango

            ELISA-G

            IC

            103

            7

            6.8

            [51]

            122

            2011

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durango

            Durango

            ELISA-G

            ORG

            124

            8

            7

            [57]

            123

            2011

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durango

            Durango

            ELISA-G

            MI

            50

            10

            20

            [55]

            124

            2011

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durango

            Durango

            ELISA-G

            GP

            150

            8

            5.3

            [32]

            125

            2011

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durango

            Durango

            ELISA-G

            IC

            75

            10

            13.3

            [52]

            126

             

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durango

            Durango

            ELISA-G

            GP

            150

            16

            10.7

            [52]

            127

            2011

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durango

            Durango

            ELISA-G

            GP

            1,101

            76

            6.9

            [59]

            128

             

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durango

            Durango

            ELISA-G

            CM

            55

            9

            16.4

            [59]

            129

            2011

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durango

            Durango

            ELISA-G

            GP

            974

            59

            6.1

            [32]

            130

            2012

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durango

            Durango

            ELISA-G

            GP

            133

            11

            8.3

            [33]

            131

             

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durango

            Durango

            ELISA-G

            GP

            266

            14

            5.3

            [33]

            132

            2012

            Alvarado-Esquivel C.

            Durango

            Durango

            ELISA-G

            GP

            156

            35

            22.4

            [34]

            Total

                  

            70,123

            19,262

              

            Skin test antigen (toxoplasmin) (STA); Complement Fixation Test (CF); Latex Flocculation Test (LF); Sabin & Feldman (SF); Indirect Haemagglutination Test (IHA); Enzyme-linked immunosorbet assay and type of antibody detected (ELISA-G), Indirect Immunofluorescence assay and type of antibody detected (IFI-G); General Population (GP); Pregnant Women (PW); Blood Donors (BD); Patients with Comorbidity (CM); Immunocompromised patients (IC); Women with Miscarriages (MW); Mentally-ill patients (MI); Other risk groups (ORG).

            Table 2

            Diagnostic methods

            Diagnostic test

            Fundament

            Sensitivity

            Specificity

            Timeline

            References

            Skin test antigen (STA

            Type IV cell-mediated hypersensitivity reaction against the T.gondii antigen.

            80%

            70%

            1950-1951

            [1619, 21, 49]

            Sabin and Feldman Dye Test (SF).

            The gold standard. A dye test in which the serum antibodies alter the staining pattern of the T. gondii tachyzoites.

            96%

            98%

            1955-2005

            [20, 22, 23, 37, 44, 46]

            Complement Fixation Test (CF).

            Antigen-antibody complexes are formed and detected by using a standard system with hemolisin and complement

            97.1%

            64.5%

            1954-1982

            [53]

            Látex Flocculation Test (LF).

            This test uses latex particles for antigen-antibody flocculation.

            No reported.

            1974

            [35]

            Indirect Fluorescent Antibody Test (IFI).

            Tachyzoites are fixed on a slide and exposed to test serum, then washed and exposed to a standard antibody labeled with fluorescent dye.

            95%

            96%

            1986 to date

            [5, 25, 27, 28, 36, 38, 54]

            Indirect Haemagglutination Test (IHA).

            This test uses sheep red cells exposed to tannic acid and then to the soluble antigen fixed at 37 °C.

            95%

            96%

            1972 to 1989

            [24, 26]

            Enzyme-linked immunoabsorbent assay (ELISA).

            The ELISA detects T. gondii immunoglobulin IgG e IgM in serum and other body fluids with antibodies marked with peroxidase and fosfatase enzymes

            100%

            98.4%

            1995 to date

            [6, 7, 2934, 3943, 47, 48, 5052, 55, 56]

            Table 3

            Crude and weighted Toxoplasma infection prevalence in low and high risk groups of Mexican population

            Population studied

            Number of studies

            Number of cases

            Positive cases

            A/Nx100 Crude prevalence (%)

            Weighed prevalence (%)

            CI 95% Lower-upper limit (%)

            References

            Low Risk Groups

            General population

            90

            61536

            16855

            27.39

            20.26

            18.78-19.36

            [1624, 34, 51, 52, 55, 56, 58, 59]

            Pregnant Women

            12

            2595

            573

            22.08

            15.62

            14.30-16.93

            [3543]

            Blood Donors

            4

            1123

            278

            24.76

            17.035

            15.03-19.03

            [5, 4648]

            Patients with comorbidity

            7

            689

            88

            12.77

            12.27

            9.83-14.72

            [19, 51, 59]

            High Risk Groups

            Women with miscarriages

            3

            2525

            910

            36.03

            35.96

            34.1-37.83

            [39, 44, 45]

            Immunocompromised patients

            7

            627

            179

            28.54

            20.2

            17.35-23.05

            [19, 47, 4952]

            Mentally-ill patients

            4

            527

            203

            38.52

            37.24

            33.24-41.26

            [20, 5355]

            Other risk groups

            5

            501

            176

            35.13

            21.88

            19.0-24.76

            [6, 7, 57, 58]

            Total

            132

            70,123

            19,262

              
            Table 4

            Weighted prevalence of T. gondii infection adjusted by risk factor (with or without) and diagnostic method

            Population studied-diagnostic method

            Number of groups

            Number of cases

            Positive cases

            A/Nx100 prevalence (%)

            Meta-analysis prevalence (%)

            Lower limit (%)

            Upper limit (%)

            with Risk - STA

            4

            480

            103

            21.45

            13.39

            10.35

            16.44

            without Risk -STA

            6

            1268

            340

            22.81

            22.48

            20.32

            24.65

            without Risk-LF

            1

            367

            73

            19.89

            19.89

            15.8

            23.97

            without-risk CF

            1

            58

            14

            24.14

            22.16

            13.64

            35.15

            without Risk-SF

            32

            22245

            6674

            30

            30

            29.4

            30.59

            with Risk-SF

            1

            2320

            815

            35.13

            35.12

            33.18

            37.18

            without Risk-IFI-G

            36

            29997

            9597

            31.99

            29.3

            28.81

            29.79

            with Risk-IFI-G

            5

            1295

            224

            16.77

            5.58

            4.44

            6.77

            without Risk-IHA

            6

            3837

            151

            3.94

            2.63

            1.24

            4.02

            with Risk-ELISA-G

            18

            1963

            523

            26.64

            17.66

            16.17

            19.15

            without Risk-ELISA-G

            22

            6293

            748

            11.89

            8.92

            8.24

            9.6

            Total

            132

            70,123

            19,262

              

            Complement Fixation (CF), Skin test antigen toxoplasmin (STA), Latex Floculation (LF), Sabin and Feldman (SF), Indirect Hemaglutination (IHA), Indirect Fluorescence (IFI), Enzyme-linked immunosorbet assay (ELISA). All prevalences calculated by meta-analysis were statistically significant (p < 0.001).

            The study groups were divided into: 1) Individuals with risk factors were designated as high risk groups that included: women who had had abortions, immunocompromised patients with AIDS or HIV, leprous people, patients with neurological disorders, pet-cat, owners and slaughterhouse workers; 2) Individuals without risks factors were designated in low risk groups: blood donors, general population and normal pregnant women.

            Statistical methods

            Crude prevalence

            The crude prevalence of each study group was estimated to assess the amount of affection by the disease expressed in percentage of positives cases in relation to all cases analyzed. It was calculated as the number of positive cases divided by the sample size of the cohort in each study group.

            Weighted population prevalence (WP)

            The assessment of the prevalence of T. gondii of the different study groups was estimated by using the weighed population prevalence, given that not all the studies included the same number of individuals. This strategy restricts the bias that may impose the heterogeneous nature of the reports, and has proven to be valid when combining a number of studies with inherent heterogeneity in sample size and effects [67].

            Each crude prevalence was multiplied by a “weight”, which was proportional to the number of subjects included in the sample, i.e., in large samples, the prevalence found outweighs that of small samples. This prevalence is obtained by summing the product of the prevalence for its “weight” of the sum of the “weights”. This estimate is more accurate than the overall crude prevalence to estimate the true prevalence of a cumulative set of groups. The formula to calculate the population prevalence (weighed prevalence, WP) of T. gondii in all groups or subgroups, included in this meta-analysis was P = ∑ (pi)(1/vi)/∑ 1/vi as explained by Borenstein et al. [68].

            Definitions

            i = Number of studies in each group. Ni = Total number of cases in each study, Ai = Number of positive cases from each study, (Ni-Ai) is the number of negative cases in each study. The risk of infection as a proportion in each study (pi) was calculated as Ai/Ni. The variance of each study (vi) was calculated as Ai (Ni-Ai)/Ni3. The standard error (SEi) of each study was estimated as √ vi.

            The total population variance (V) was estimated as 1/ ∑ 1/vi. The standard error of the population was calculated as SE = √V. The confidence interval (C.I.95%) for the population prevalence was obtained by P + 1.96 SE (upper limit) and P-1.96 EE lower limit. The probability that the prevalence could be different from zero was calculated with a Z test, Z = P/SE.

            Forest plot

            A Forest Plot chart was built in order to provide a comprehensive analysis of the studies included in the meta-analysis according to its odd ratio and confidence interval (CI) [68].

            Linear regression analysis

            A bivariate linear regression analysis was conducted to determine the relationship between the seroprevalence of Toxoplasma infection over time. The regression coefficient was calculated by the equation (y = a + b x), a = ordinate of origin, b = slope and the R2 and p were obtained with the SPSS program (Version 18). The epidemiological behaviour of the prevalence of Toxoplasma infection was estimated by plotting the year of each publication date (independent variable) starting at year 1951 until 2012 versus the relative prevalence (dependent variable) reported in each study [68].

            Results

            From the five databases, a total of 45 publications were eligible that included 132 studies and 70,123 individuals, and 19,262 positive cases as shown in Table 1. As shown in Table 3, most of the studies were carried out in low risk groups, such as, the general population (n = 90 studies) followed by pregnant women (n = 12), with the least number of studies in blood donors (n = 4). In the high-risk groups, relatively fewer studies have been carried out; women with miscarriage (n = 3), immuno-compromised patients (n = 7), mentally-ill patients (n = 4), other risk groups (n = 5) and patients with nonrelated comorbidity (n = 7). To the best of our knowledge, all the studies included in this meta-analysis had a cross-sectional design and were aimed to identify the prevalence of T. gondii antibodies in a cohort. No prospective or follow-up studies aimed to seek seroconversion or self-reported results were detected.

            Meta-analysis in low risk groups

            General population

            Most of the studies were carried out in low risk groups such as the general population (90 studies) that gave a total of 61,536 people tested for T. gondii infection. The WP was 20.26% (CI95%18.78% – 19.36%) with a variance of 0.0002% and a standard error of 0.1463%, Z = 130.391 and p <0.001 (Table 3).

            Pregnant women

            In this study group, 12 publications included 2,595 pregnant women. The WP was 15.62% (CI95%14.30%-16.93%), with a variance of 0.0045% and standard error of 0.67%, Z = 23.313 and p <0.001 (Table 3).

            Blood donors

            In 4 studies, a total of 1123 blood donors were tested. The WP was 17.03% (CI95% 15.03% – 19.03%) with a variance of 0.00104% and standard error of 1.0213%, Z = 16.679 and p <0.001 (Table 3).

            Patients with comorbidity

            In 689 cases from seven studies, a WP of 12.27% (CI95% 9.83 – 14.72) was found with a variance of 0.0155%, standard error of 1.2463%, Z = 9.85 and p <0.001 (Table 3).

            Meta-analysis in high-risk groups

            Women with miscarriages

            In 3 studies, 2595 women were tested. The WP was 35.96% (CI95% 34.10% - 37.83%) with a variance of 0.0091% and standard error of 0.9532%, Z = 37.73 and p <0.001 (Table 3).

            Immunocompromised patients

            In this study group, 627 patients from seven studies were included. The WP was 20.20% (CI95% 17.35%- 23.05%) with a variance of 0.0211% and standard error of 1.45%, Z = 13.90 and p <0.0001 (Table 3).

            Mentally-ill patients

            A total of 527 mentally-ill patients were included from four studies. The WP was 37.24% (CI95% 33.24% - 41.26%) with a variance of 0.0994% and standard error of 3.15%, Z = 11.43 and p <0.001 (Table 3).

            Other risk groups

            In 501 cases from five studies, a WP of 21.88% (CI95% 19.00% - 24.76%) was found with a variance of 0.0215%, standard error of 1.46%, Z = 14.91 and p <0.001 (Table 3).

            Weighted prevalence by diagnostic test and risk factors

            In order to determine, if the prevalence of T. gondii was based on the diagnostic test, the study groups were adjusted by diagnostic test and risk factors reported. Only the studies that used the SF assay and ELlSA showed a correlation between the low and high risk. Interestingly, the rest of the diagnostic tests showed a lower prevalence, although it is noteworthy to mention that the difference may be due to the number of cases in the risk group categories (Table 4).

            Epidemiological transition of Toxoplasma infection in Mexico

            Figure 1 illustrates the Forest Plot analysis of the WP (CI95%) of each study included in this meta-analysis. The linear regression analysis of Toxoplasma infection in the Mexican population over a time span of 60 years showed a downward trend of 0.1%/year that represents an overall 5.8% reduction of infection (R2 = 0.0354 and F (1) =4.802, p > 0.05) that was not statistically significant (Figure 2).
            http://static-content.springer.com/image/art%3A10.1186%2F1756-3305-5-271/MediaObjects/13071_2012_Article_788_Fig1_HTML.jpg
            Figure 1

            Epidemiological transition of the T. gondii infection from 1954 to 2012, (―) Linear regression and triangle (♦) is the individual prevalence of Toxoplasma gondii infection reported in each study group. The decrement in the prevalence rate was 0.1%/year. The R2 value was not statistically significant (NS).

            http://static-content.springer.com/image/art%3A10.1186%2F1756-3305-5-271/MediaObjects/13071_2012_Article_788_Fig2_HTML.jpg
            Figure 2

            Weighted prevalence of Toxoplasma gondii infection from 132 studies. Forest plot shows event numbers, total numbers and confidence intervals for all study groups included in the meta-analysis. The triangle (♦) represents the prevalence of each study and (┬ ┴) are intervals of confidence.

            Discussion

            The questions that led us to achieve this study were if Mexico had a significant prevalence of toxoplasmosis, and if there have been changes in the epidemiology of this disease from 1951 to date. Five databases were searched, and 132 studies were selected involving 70,123 individuals and 19,262 positive cases.

            This study showed that the WP of toxoplasmosis in Mexico was 20.26%, which is relatively low compared to the mean prevalence of 32% reported in 1991 [27]. This can be explained if we note that variations between methodologies can result in heterogeneity of the estimations. However, despite this situation, at least 20.26% of Mexicans may have been exposed to toxoplasmosis.

            Between 1951 and 1958, the STA was an appropriate test since, at that time, it was a rapid and sensitive assay for epidemiological studies. It did not give cross-reactions with other parasites, but it did make a fair amount of false-negatives in mild infections. This was one of its disadvantages when used for a survey in the general population in Tamaulipas, Campeche and Mexico City (1953). The WP was 21.31% in 11 study groups with 1846 cases [1620]. Since only one study was performed by the FL test with 367 individuals, and another study included 58 cases tested by fixation complement, we were not able to compare these results against the SF or IFI assays.

            The SF test was used in epidemiological studies carried out between 1961 and 1966. The CP and WP was 30% and 35.12%, respectively [23]. The advantage of this test is that it is a gold standard, and it is highly sensitive, although the disadvantage is that it requires live parasites. The global prevalence during that time was 14.92%, which is closer, to the prevalence of 8.26% aforementioned. In the same period, the IFI test was introduced and was then used in the largest survey carried out in Mexico (1992) with 29, 279 people with a mean prevalence of 32.0% [27]. The meta-analysis of all tests performed with IFI was 29.32%, because the majority of studies have used this method (31,412 cases).

            In the 80s, the ELISA methods were introduced with higher sensitivity and specificity that reduced the number of cross-reactions. Interestingly, the WP was lower, ranging from 8.92% to 17.66%, which may have been caused by the lower number of cases, (8256 cases), less than one-third of the studies, when compared to the 26,751 cases tested with SF and the 30,485 cases with IFI.

            The general population involved 61,536 cases with a WP of 20.26%, while the mean prevalence was reported as 32% in 1991 [27]. This discrepancy may be caused by the differences in the diagnostic methods that are then adjusted when the weighted prevalence was estimated [27].

            Pregnant women presented a WP of 15.62% with an upper limit of 16.93% that is closer to the general population prevalence (20.26%), which is reasonable since these women did not have obstetric complications. These values were lower compared to 45.8% and 30.5%, respectively for specific IgG antibodies detected by the Sabin-Feldman dye test in two separate studies among pregnant women [69], however, our results were higher than 0.6% among pregnant women in Norway [70].

            In the four studies performed in blood donors, the WP was 17.03% among 1123 cases. This prevalence is also closer to the general population prevalence, despite that each one of them was carried out with different diagnostic tests (one with SF [46], one not reported [47], one with IFAT [5] and one with ELISA, respectively [48]).

            Regarding the blood donors group, this group has a lower WP when compared to the general population. Transfusion Medicine guidelines have pronounced that donated blood should be screened for toxoplasmosis, because of the potential risk for blood receptors receiving transfusions from subjects in the acute phase of infection. Therefore, testing of toxoplasmosis in blood donations should be mandatory in the country [5, 4648].

            Three studies performed in Mexico were in women with miscarriages having primary infection during pregnancy. There were clear differences between the WP of pregnant women 15.62% whereas those with miscarriages had 35.96% (p <0.05). These results are concordant with other studies that have shown an association between high prevalence of miscarriages and Toxoplasma infection [39, 44, 45].

            Another risk group was the immunocompromised patients. Among 627 cases, the WP of 20.2% was the same as in the general population. One explanation is that the patients were diagnosed by different methods, and two studies performed in Durango had the lowest prevalence [47, 4952].

            The highest WP was 37.24% in the mentally-ill patients, at least 18.27% higher than the general population [55]. Several authors have reported a high prevalence of Toxoplasma antibodies in patients with schizophrenia, although other factors such as genetic may be present in the schizophrenia, different reports have shown that Toxoplasma is somehow associated with cases of schizophrenia. This finding justifies the need to examine the relationship between toxoplasmosis and schizophrenia with pre-clinical and clinical trials aimed to improve prevention and treatment programs in patients with psychiatric illness [71, 72]. On the other hand, a meta-analysis of latent Toxoplasma gondii infection in immunocompetent hosts and cryptogenic epilepsy showed a strong association between seroprevalence rates for toxoplasmosis and prevalence rates of epilepsy. If an etiological connection can be proven, it would have implications for the implementation of prevention and treatment strategies for Toxoplasma disease [73].

            Cat owners and slaughterhouse workers presented both a CP and WP of 21.88% each. This may be because only five studies with 501 individuals with this attribute were analyzed. Regarding patients with nonrelated comorbidity, WP was 12.28%, lower than in the general population. Three groups were studied with STA and four more from Durango had the lowest prevalence in the country, which may show that their comorbidity was not related to the risk of infection.

            Another important factor is the difference in the prevalence of T. gondii infections due to the sensitivity and specificity of diagnostic tests, since there are several methods to identify and evaluate antibodies in individuals who were infected by the parasite. Over time, at least four different diagnostic assays have been used worldwide that range from the lowest specificity and sensitivity like the STA progressing on to the SF Dye Test and other similar tests up to the improved ELISA (Table 2) [7, 74].

            In regards to the analysis of the study groups adjusted by risk factors (with or without) and diagnostic test, we found that only those tested by ELISA showed a WP of 17.66% in the risk factor groups against a WP of 8.92% in the groups without risk factors. However, with the other methods, both crude and weighted prevalence were reduced; however, the number of studied individuals was higher. This analysis demonstrates that the prevalence varies according to the diagnostic method and by the number of individuals tested in each study group (Figure 2).

            The epidemiological behavior of Toxoplasma infection showed a negative slope of -0.1%/year, which represented an accumulated decrement of nearly 6% in the prevalence of infection in Mexico after 60 years. This may suggest that we have not paid enough attention to T. gondii infection as a public health problem though it tends to decrease. However, another key issue is that if the studies carried out in the first 10 years had been tested with ELISA then the decrement would have been even lower (Figure 2).

            In this study, stratification of studies based on molecular assays was not feasible because none was reported. However, genotyping has been reported in other Latin American populations, such as Colombia where a virulent strain (LD100 of 10 tachyzoites) was identified as clonal type 1 (CIBMUQ/HDC) [75]. Additionally, in another study, the GRA6 type I/III profile was the most frequent among asymptomatic cases (68/148, 45.9%) and in severe multi visceral cases (2/4, 50%). Furthermore, GRA6 type II, was found in one case of congenital toxoplasmosis, one case of severe multi visceral infection, one case of ocular infection, and in five cases (5/148,3.4%) of asymptomatic patients [76]. Further studies based on genetic-based diagnostic assays will be relevant in the future, since Toxoplasma gondii isolates from Latin America have mixed/ recombinant genetic structure.

            A 6% decrement in the prevalence of Toxoplasma infection after 60 years of studies was detected. This decrement is quite low after a relatively long period, contrary to what has been reported in the United States, with a 14% decrement in only one decade [77]. Therefore, our data warrants that researchers must pay more attention to this disease and to communicate to the medical community the need of improvement of the prevention strategies, together with effective diagnostic testing and management of patients in high risk of infection such as immunocompromised patients and pregnant women.

            Further research is still required to understand and clarify the role of T. gondii in its diverse routes of transmission, as well as to design better control measures that focus on minimizing the risk of infection. The purpose of such studies should be to aid in the monitoring of changes in the epidemiology of T. gondii infection, and to strengthen educational efforts in order to avoid the transmission of infection in populations that cannot be controlled by drugs alone.

            Implications for research

            A crucial factor is the difference in the prevalence of T. gondii infections due to the sensitivity and specificity of the diagnostic tests, since there are several methods to identify and evaluate antibodies in individuals who were infected by the parasite. At least four different diagnostic assays have been used in this study, that range from the lowest specificity and sensitivity like the CF, progressing on to the SF dye test and other similar tests up to the improved ELISA.

            Conclusion

            In conclusion, to the best of our knowledge, this is the first study that provides a comprehensive view of the epidemiological situation on the prevalence of T. gondii infection among the adult Mexican population. It provides not only epidemiologic evidence relevant to Mexico, but to other countries in the Americas and worldwide as well, where it has been documented that T. gondii prevalence is shifting, related to regional climate changes among other factors. In this study, the major risk groups with Toxoplasma infection were women with miscarriages, immunocompromised patients, mentally-ill patients and other risk groups. Noteworthy was the psychiatric patients group, since T.gondii can cause serious damage to the central nervous system.

            Declarations

            Authors’ Affiliations

            (1)
            Department of Physiology, Neurophysiology Laboratory, Health Sciences University Center, University of Guadalajara
            (2)
            “Federico Gómez” Children’s Hospital of Mexico
            (3)
            Department of Molecular Biology in Medicine, Civil Hospital of Guadalajara “Fray Antonio Alcalde”, University of Guadalajara

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