Table 3 The weekly lag effects of climate variables on P. vivax and P. falciparum

Lag0

1.01 (0.96,1.06)

1.08 (0.85,1.38)

0.99 (0.97,1.01)

Lag1

0.98 (0.94,1.03)

1.08 (0.93,1.27)

1.02 (0.99,1.04)

Lag2

0.99 (0.96,1.02)

1.12 (0.95,1.33)

1.03 (1.01,1.05)*

Lag3

1.01 (0.98,1.04)

1.18 (1.05, 1.33)*

1.03 (1.01,1.04)*

Lag4

1.02 (1.00,1.04)*

1.23 (1.10,1.38)*

1.02 (1.00,1.04)*

Lag5

1.03 (1.01,1.05)*

1.24 (1.10,1.41)*

1.02 (0.99,1.05)

Lag6

1.03 (1.01,1.06)*

1.23 (1.09,1.39)*

1.01 (0.99,1.02)

Lag7

1.03 (1.02,1.05)*

1.19 (1.07,1.33)*

1.01 (0.99,1.02)

Lag8

1.03 (1.01,1.05)*

1.13 (1.02,1.27)*

1.01 (0.99,1.03)

Lag9

1.02 (1.00,1.04) *

1.07 (0.93,1.25)

1.02 (1.00,1.04)*

Lag10

1.0 (0.98,1.05)

1.02 (0.83,1.25)

1.02 (1.00,1.05)*

Lag0-10

1.19 (1.04,1.35)*

4.38 (1.86,10.30)*

1.18 (1.05,1.34)*

Lag effects on P. f

Lag0

1.02 (0.95,1.10)

0.95 (0.55,1.62)

0.98 (0.96,1.01)

Lag1

1.06 (0.99,1.14)

0.87 (0.60,1.26)

1.02 (0.99,1.05)

Lag2

1.05 (0.99,1.10)

0.89 (0.60,1.33)

1.04 (1.01,1.06)*

Lag3

1.05 (0.99,1.10)

0.98 (0.74,1.30)

1.04 (1.01,1.06)*

Lag4

1.06 (1.03,1.09)*

1.07 (0.82,1.39)

1.03 (1.01,1.06)*

Lag5

1.07 (1.04,1.11)*

1.11 (0.82,1.51)

1.02 (0.99,1.05)

Lag6

1.07 (1.04,1.11)*

1.12 (0.83,1.51)

1.01 (0.99,1.04)

Lag7

1.07 (1.03,1.11)*

1.10 ( 0.84,1.43)

1.01 (0.98,1.03)

Lag8

1.06 (1.03,1.09)*

1.06 (0.82,1.37)

1.01 (0.98,1.04)

Lag9

1.04 (1.01,1.08)*

1.00 (0.71,1.41)

1.01 (0.99,1.04)

Lag10

1.02 (0.97,1.08)

0.94 (0.57,1.54)

1.03 (0.99,1.06)

Lag0-10

1.74 (1.41,2.16)*

1.06 (0.16,6.78)

1.23 (1.03,1.46)*