Skip to main content

Advertisement

Table 2 Prior and posterior distribution of parameter estimatesa

From: Evaluating long-term effectiveness of sleeping sickness control measures in Guinea

No non-human animal reservoir (Base-case)
Parameter Prior Median (95 % CI)
β VH U(0.1,0.6) 0.3750 (0.1698, 0.5626)
β H U(0,1) 0.1751 (0.0778,0.8550)
 1/ζ U(0,252) 202 (97,250)
x - 0.0503
With non-human animal reservoir
Parameter Prior Median (95 % CI)
β VH U(0.1,0.6) 0.3020 (0.1021, 0.5932)
β H U(0,1) 0.0076 (0.0011,0.3265)
 1/ζ U(0,252) 203 (101, 243)
β L U(0,1) 0.1345 (0.0476, 0.6619)
x - 0.0503
  1. aLikelihood function was formed using beta distributions for stage I and stage II HAT cases in year 2008 (Stage I: Beta(3,1488), Stage II: Beta(2,1488) and in year 2013 (Stage I: Beta(3,7788), Stage II: Beta(4,7788)