μ
H
|
Natural human mortality rate
|
5.4795 × 10− 5 days
− 1
|
[45]
|
B
H
|
Human birth rate
|
μ
H
N
H
|
-
|
σ
H
|
Human incubation rate
|
0.0833 days
− 1
|
[17]
|
φ
H
|
Stage 1 to 2 progression rate
|
0.0019 days
− 1
|
[39, 46]
|
γ
H
|
Treatment rate from stage 2
|
0.006 days
− 1
|
Assumed (see text)
|
|
u, Proportion of passive cases reported, Varies, -
| | |
|
Frequency of screening
|
Annual
|
-
|
|
Active screen diagnostic algorithm sensitivity
|
91 %
|
Averaged from [38]
|
|
Active screen diagnostic algorithm sensitivity
|
91 %
|
Averaged from [38]
|
|
Active screen diagnostic algorithm specificity
|
99.9 %
|
Averaged from [38]
|
|
Treatment compliance
|
1
|
Assumed
|
η
H
|
Pulsed active screening
| | |
ω
H
|
Recovery rate
|
0.006 days
− 1
|
[27]
|
δ
H
|
Disease induced mortality
|
0
|
Assumed
|
N
H
|
Total human population size
|
291567
|
[34, 35]
|
k
1
|
Proportion of low-risk, random participation people
|
Varies
|
-
|
k
2
|
Proportion of low-risk, random participation people
|
Varies
|
-
|
k
3
|
Proportion of low-risk, random participation people
|
Varies
|
-
|
k
4
|
Proportion of low-risk, random participation people
|
Varies
|
-
|
m
|
Relative tsetse density
|
N
V
/N
H
|
-
|
μ
V
|
Tsetse mortality rate
|
0.03 days
− 1
|
[17]
|
α
|
Tsetse bite rate
|
0.333 days
− 1
|
WHO 2013
|
σ
V
|
Tsetse incubation rate
|
0.034 days
− 1
|
[47, 48]
|
p
V
|
Probability of tsetse infection per single infective bite
|
Varies
|
-
|
p
H
|
Probability of human infection per single infective bite
|
Varies
|
-
|
m
eff
|
Effective tsetse density
|
= mp
H
|
-
|
ε
|
Reduced non-teneral susceptibility factor
|
Varies
| |
f
H
|
Proportion of blood-meals on humans
|
0.09
|
[49] (G. fuscipes)
|
r
|
Relative bites taken on “high-risk” humans compared to “low-risk”
|
Varies
|
-
|
μ
A
|
Natural reservoir animal mortality rate
|
0.0014 days
− 1
|
Assumed
|
B
A
|
Reservoir animal birth rate
|
μ
A
N
A
|
-
|
σ
A
|
Reservoir animal incubation rate
|
0.0833 days
− 1
|
[17]
|
f
A
|
Proportion of blood-meals on reservoir animals
|
Varies
|
-
|
N
A
|
Reservoir animal population size
|
Varies
|
-
|
p
A
|
Probability of reservoir animal infection per single infective bite
|
Varies
|
-
|