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Table 2 Geostatistical variables selection results

From: Spatial mapping and prediction of Plasmodium falciparum infection risk among school-aged children in Côte d’Ivoire

  Variable selection 1 Variable selection 2
Predictors Median probability model Predictor posterior inclusion probability Median probability model Predictor posterior inclusion probability
Age 0 2.4 % 0 1.6 %
Gender 0 27.6 % 0 24 %
Altitude
 Linear 0 1.6 % 0 1.5 %
 Categorical 0 4.2 % 0 2.4 %
Distance to freshwater bodies
 Linear 0 0.9 % 0 0.6 %
 Categorical 0 5.9 % 0 2.4 %
Rainfall     
 Linear 0 2.2 % 0 2.3 %
 Categorical 0 25.0 % 0 14.8 %
Rainfall coefficient of variation
 Linear 0 1.9 % 0 2.1 %
 Categorical 0 9.8 % 0 20.6 %
Normalized difference vegetation index
 Linear 0 1.2 % 0 0.5 %
 Categorical 0 4.1 % 0 4.0 %
Night land surface temperature     
 Linear 0 2.8 % 0 1.0 %
 Categorical 0 9.0 % 0 1.5 %
Day land surface temperature
 Linear 0 1.3 % 0 0.9 %
 Categorical 0 1.7 % 0 3.0 %
Land cover × 51.1 % 0 19.1 %
Bed net ownership    0 2.1 %
Fumigating coil    0 13.4 %
Insecticide spray    0 15.5 %
Smoke by burning leaves    0 3.3 %
Children sleeping under a net    0 1.1 %
Children slept under a net last night    0 1.8 %
Malaria treatment    0 3.5 %
Distance to nearest health facility    0 3.3 %
Socioeconomic status    × 100 %
  1. Variable selection 1 included only demographic and environmental variables. Variable selection 2 additionally included prevention and socioeconomic variables. × (selected), 0 (not selected); Median probability model is presented together with posterior inclusions probability of the predictors