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Table 2 Geostatistical variables selection results

From: Spatial mapping and prediction of Plasmodium falciparum infection risk among school-aged children in Côte d’Ivoire

 

Variable selection 1

Variable selection 2

Predictors

Median probability model

Predictor posterior inclusion probability

Median probability model

Predictor posterior inclusion probability

Age

0

2.4 %

0

1.6 %

Gender

0

27.6 %

0

24 %

Altitude

 Linear

0

1.6 %

0

1.5 %

 Categorical

0

4.2 %

0

2.4 %

Distance to freshwater bodies

 Linear

0

0.9 %

0

0.6 %

 Categorical

0

5.9 %

0

2.4 %

Rainfall

    

 Linear

0

2.2 %

0

2.3 %

 Categorical

0

25.0 %

0

14.8 %

Rainfall coefficient of variation

 Linear

0

1.9 %

0

2.1 %

 Categorical

0

9.8 %

0

20.6 %

Normalized difference vegetation index

 Linear

0

1.2 %

0

0.5 %

 Categorical

0

4.1 %

0

4.0 %

Night land surface temperature

    

 Linear

0

2.8 %

0

1.0 %

 Categorical

0

9.0 %

0

1.5 %

Day land surface temperature

 Linear

0

1.3 %

0

0.9 %

 Categorical

0

1.7 %

0

3.0 %

Land cover

×

51.1 %

0

19.1 %

Bed net ownership

  

0

2.1 %

Fumigating coil

  

0

13.4 %

Insecticide spray

  

0

15.5 %

Smoke by burning leaves

  

0

3.3 %

Children sleeping under a net

  

0

1.1 %

Children slept under a net last night

  

0

1.8 %

Malaria treatment

  

0

3.5 %

Distance to nearest health facility

  

0

3.3 %

Socioeconomic status

  

×

100 %

  1. Variable selection 1 included only demographic and environmental variables. Variable selection 2 additionally included prevention and socioeconomic variables. × (selected), 0 (not selected); Median probability model is presented together with posterior inclusions probability of the predictors