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Table 2 Results from the final selected generalised linear mixed model to explain variation in B. burgdorferi (s.l.) prevalence in questing nymphs, the density of B. burgdorferi (s.l.) infected nymphs and B. afzelii and B. garinii prevalence in questing nymphs

From: Heterogeneity in the abundance and distribution of Ixodes ricinus and Borrelia burgdorferi (sensu lato) in Scotland: implications for risk prediction

Model description

Fixed effects

Mean (estimated)

SE

P-value

Delta AICc

B. burgdorferi (s.l.)

(Intercept)

-9.7

1.5

9.9 × 10-11

–

Growing degree-daysa

0.5

0.1

1.8 × 10-5

15.1

Mean nymph abundance/10 m2

-0.2

0.1

0.0010

7.1

Density of B. burgdorferi (s.l.)-infected ticks

(Intercept)

-12.4

1.8

9.6 × 10-12

–

B. afzelii

Growing degree-daysa

0.5

0.1

0.00015

11.9

(Intercept)

-12.1

3.3

0.00021

–

B. garinii

Growing degree-daysa

0.5

0.3

0.031

3.3

(Intercept)

-5.8

0.4

<2.0 × 10-16

–

  1. Delta AICc indicates the change in AICc after removing each variable from the best-fit model
  2. aUK Met Office Long Term Average climate data [35]
  3. Abbreviation: SE standard error