Table 2 General magnitude and direction of influence of variables used in the final Maxent models. The numbers indicate the variables’ relative contributions to the final models expressed as a percent contribution (regular numbers) and permutation importance (italicized numbers)

Distance from any forest patch

-

-

-

-

-

26.2

27.3

33.9

26.4

23.9

30.6

35.8

42.2

39.6

21.1

Distance from medium to large forest patches

cplx

cplx

cplx

cplx

cplx

19.5

20.7

22.4

17.2

32.7

30.8

31.9

34.3

33.0

48.7

Distance from large forest patches

cplx

+

cplx

cplx

+

+

+

cplx

+

+

38.8

52.2

38.7

29.2

31.9

39.3

42.9

35.3

36.2

11.6

33.7

49.4

36.2

30.8

22.8

48.7

25.8

25.3

14.6

7.2

Distance from patch edge

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

30.3

53.6

17.7

12.2

19.4

24.3

14.9

24.8

27.3

35.8

14.1

19.1

27.6

19.0

15.4

21.3

Patch size

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

24.8

37.5

23.3

19.2

19.1

32.9

32.0

29.8

33.7

14.6

23.5

38.3

19.5

11.2

34.9

28.3

26.0

19.8

37.3

10.5

Mean NDVI for 2009 and 2010 October-November

cplx

+

+

+

+

-

-

47.8

29.2

37.8

9.4

6.3

12.3

33.1

50.6

23.7

49.9

5.8

19.8

19.2

57.5

Range of NDVI for 2009 and 2010 rainy seasons

-

-

8.4

8.4

15.9

3.1

Precipitation of the wettest quarter

cplx

+

cplx

+

cplx

16.9

36.3

17.3

1.4

11.8

12.0

31.1

12.2

8.1

5.0

Elevation

+

18.3

16.3

Aspect

+

10.1

8.9

Slope

+

18.3

0.0