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Table 3 Dynamic relationship (VAR) between PCP (%)for CanL and incidence of HVL, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil, 2006–2013

From: Spatial and temporal relationships between human and canine visceral leishmaniases in Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, 2006–2013

Independent variables

Dependent variables

HVL

PCP

Coefficient

P-value

Coefficient

P-value

HVL_1

-0.67

< 0.0001

-0.09

0.24

HVL_2

-0.35

< 0.0001

-0.03

0.68

PCP_1

-0.07

0.58

-0.31

< 0.0001

PCP_2

0.27

0.03

-0.18

0.09

R 2

0.39

0.11

Adjusted R2

0.37

0.08

Durbin-Watson

2.08

1.99

  1. Abbreviations: VAR vector autoregressive model, HVL_1 human cases recorded a month later, HVL_2 human cases recorded two months later, PCP_1 proportion of canine seroprevalence recorded a month later, PCP_2 proportion of canine seroprevalence recorded two months later, HVL human visceral leishmaniasis, CanL canine leishmaniasis; PCP proportion of canine prevalence = positive dogs in ELISA and RIFI/ dogs evaluated