Table 2 Posterior estimates of parameters and model fit. The 95% credible intervals are given in parentheses. Other parameters were fixed during model fitting at the values given in Table 1. DIC denotes the deviance for each fitted model with the lowest value representing the most parsimonious model. DIC values in bold identify the best model hypothesis that recapitulates the data
Model variant | F | 1/μM | 1/μd | d | ω | m o | DIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Anopheles coluzzii | |||||||
 H:0 | 1.4 (1.1–1.7) | 38.1 (35.8–42.5) | – | – | – | – | 166.0 |
 H:1 | 1.6 (1.2–2.0) | 56.0 (46.6–67.5) | – | – | – | 73.4 (70.1–89.5) | 216.2 |
 H:2 | 3.3 (2.7–3.9) | 19.8 (18.7–20.0) | 155.5 (120–198) | 0.011 (0.010–0.017) | 0.95 (0.74–1.0) | 75.4 (70.0–80.0) | 248.9 |
 H:3 | 7.5 (4.9–9.3) | 10.9 (10.0–14.5) | 114.5 (71–174) | 0.012 (0.010–0.030) | 0.76 (0.51–0.99) | 89.9 (72.7–99.5) | 119.8 |
Anopheles arabiensis | |||||||
 H:0 | 1.3 (1.0–1.8) | 32.7 (25.5–39.7) | – | – | – | – | 50.7 |
 H:1 | 0.8 (0.6–1.0) | 55.0 (46.7–64.3) | – | – | – | 85.5 (77.7–92.6) | 41.8 |
 H:2 | 1.4 (1.0–2.0) | 19.4 (15.4–20.0) | 79.6 (43.4–162.5) | 0.015 (0.010–0.040) | 0.75 (0.51–0.99) | 73.8 (70.1–93.6) | 70.4 |
 H:3 | 1.8 (1.0–2.6) | 12.9 (10.1–18.9) | 74.4 (46.6–152.7) | 0.052 (0.010–0.100) | 0.79 (0.52–0.98) | 85.1 (70.8–99.2) | 39.4 |