Table 4 Percentage reduction in the out-of-sample mean absolute forecast error of the model compared with the baseline forecast
From: Spatio-temporal analysis of the main dengue vector populations in Singapore
1 week ahead | 2 weeks ahead | 3 weeks ahead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Weather covariates included | Ae. aegypti | − 10.0% (p < 0.001) | 6.5% (p < 0.001) | 10.7% (p < 0.001) |
Ae. albopictus | − 18.5% (p < 0.001) | 7.8% (p < 0.001) | 10.3% (p < 0.001) | |
Weather covariates not included | Ae. aegypti | 0.3% (p = 0.764) | 8.3% (p < 0.001) | 10.8% (p < 0.001) |
Ae. albopictus | − 4.9% (p < 0.001) | 9.8% (p < 0.001) | 11.0% (p < 0.001) | |