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Table 4 Interventional effect of cutting off different transmission routes on SFTS

From: Modelling the transmission dynamics of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome in Jiangsu Province, China

“Knock-out” scenario* Cumulative number of cases Total attack rate Peak time (days) Peak attack rate
β1 0 0 0 0
β3 671 0 205 0
βw 0 0 198 0
β21 671 0 205 0
β31 671   205 0
β23 671 0 205 0
β32 671 0 205 0
β3βw 0 0 198 0
β3β21 671 0 205 0
β3β31 671 0 205 0
β3β23 671 0 205 0
β3β32 671 0 205 0
βwβ21 0 0 198 0
βwβ31 0 0 10 0
βwβ23 0 0 198 0
βwβ32 0 0 198 0
β21β23 671 0 205 0
β21β31 671 0 205 0
β21β32 671 0 205 0
β31β23 671 0 205 0
β31β32 671 0 205 0
β23β32 671 0 205 0
β3βwβ21 0 0 198 0
β3βwβ31 0 0 10 0
β3βwβ23 0 0 198 0
β3βwβ32 0 0 198 0
β3β21β31 671 0 205 0
β3β21β32 671 0 205 0
β3β21β23 671 0 205 0
β3β31β23 671 0 205 0
β3β31β32 671 0 205 0
β3β23β32 671 0 205 0
βwβ21β31 0 0 10 0
βwβ21β23 0 0 198 0
βwβ31β23 0 0 10 0
βwβ21β32 0 0 198 0
βwβ31β32 0 0 10 0
βwβ23β32 0 0 198 0
β21β31β23 671 0 205 0
β21β31β32 671 0 205 0
β21β23β32 671 0 205 0
β31β23β32 671 0 205 0
β3βwβ21β31 0 0 7 0
β3βwβ21β23 0 0 198 0
β3βwβ21β32 0 0 198 0
β3βwβ23β32 0 0 198 0
β3βwβ31β23 0 0 10 0
β3βwβ31β32 0 0 10 0
β3β21β31β23 671 0 205 0
β3β21β23β32 671 0 205 0
β3β21β31β32 671 0 205 0
β3β31β23β32 671 0 205 0
βwβ21β31β23 0 0 10 0
βwβ21β31β32 0 0 10 0
βwβ21β23β32 0 0 198 0
βwβ31β23β32 0 0 10 0
β21β31β23β32 671 0 205 0
β3βwβ21β31β23 0 0 10 0
β3βwβ21β31β32 0 0 10 0
β3βwβ21β23β32 0 0 198 0
β3βwβ31β23β32 0 0 10 0
β3β21β31β23β32 671 0 205 0
βwβ21β31β23β32 0 0 10 0
β3βwβ21β31β23β32 0 0 10 0
  1. *“Knock-out” means to simulate cutting off the transmission routes by setting a parameter to 0, and estimates the contribution of the parameter by calculating the number of reduced cases or the total attack rate. The different scenario means which parameter was set as 0