Fig. 2

Mean logarithmic score of submissions from teams and comparison models. A Full range of mean scores and B vertically truncated range to visualize differences in score among top models for each submission time point. If a team did not submit a new forecast at a submission time point, we used the previously submitted forecast to calculate the score (i.e. no variation in score between time points). See Additional file 1: Table S3 for individual forecast mean logarithmic scores